Moving Parts: NBA trade deadline sets players values in motion
The trade deadline has come and gone and the NBA once again delivered an entertaining week of activity. From Carmelo Anthony and Deron Williams leaving the Northwest Division for the Atlantic, to Baron Davis reuniting with Byron Scott, there is plenty to analyze. Let's dive into the individual fantasy values and how they have been affected.
Ty Lawson, Arron Afflalo, Nene Hilario and J.R. Smith -- Although the Nuggets took back a load of talented Knicks in return for Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups, these remaining Nuggets should be excited for the final two months of the season. Finally, there is a multi-track offense in Denver. Look for this team to move the ball fluidly. The speed of the new Nuggets and the ample amount of outside shooting threats will lead to a ton of floor space and a team that should be among the highest scoring squads in the league. In other words, the values are rising.
Kirk Hinrich -- With the move to the Hawks, Hinrich should take over the starting duties immediately. In 462 career starts, he's averaged 14 points, 6.1 assists, 3.5 rebounds, 1.6 three-pointers and 1.3 steals per game. In Atlanta, he has his best supporting cast yet. If you've been sleeping on Hinrich, wake up. You're about to see a smart and tough player get the chance to run a team that consists of Josh Smith, Joe Johnson, Al Horford and more. Pick him up if he's out there.
Serge Ibaka and James Harden -- By moving Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic, the Thunder's starting five changes to include Kendrick Perkins and Ibaka in the post. The massive improvement that will bring to the rest of the defense may make it no longer necessary to start Thabo Sefolosha ahead of Harden. Look for both of these players to log nearly 30 minutes per game for the rest of the way.
Devin Harris -- Harris should be able to maintain the 15 points and 7.6 assists per game he was delivering for the Nets. He should even show improvement toward the end of his stint in Utah. A slow start will be forgivable, and if it drives down his asking price in your league, make the move.
Kris Humphries -- Derrick Favors and Troy Murphy are both gone, meaning Humphries will see a ton of playing time in New Jersey. Per 36 minutes, he's averaging 12.4 points and 13.2 rebounds on 52 percent shooting. He's finally reliable.
Mo Williams -- Williams has been dinged up and unmotivated for most of the season, but Los Angeles should revive him. After playing his whole career in Utah, Milwaukee, and Cleveland, Williams should return to being a dynamic source of three-pointers and assists. The upgrade in his supporting cast is exponential.
Aaron Brooks -- It remains to be seen how often Brooks and Steve Nash will be on the floor together, but I'd bank on Brooks averaging more than 25 minutes per game in Phoenix. Also count on improved shooting and a ton of three-pointers, but he'll still deliver less than his draft day expectations.
Boris Diaw -- Diaw has put up better numbers when Gerald Wallace has been sidelined, and now Wallace is gone for good. He's a solid addition off of waivers and we should expect a resurgence now that he's not sharing the glass with Crash.
Gerald Henderson -- With Wallace in Portland, Stephen Jackson shifts to small forward and Henderson becomes the full-time two-guard. Expect well over 30 minutes per game.
Shane Battier -- Battier will deliver at least one three-pointer, steal,= and block per game so if you need to gain ground there, he's a good place the start. The Grizzlies gave up a first rounder to get him, so they're going to use him plenty until Rudy Gay returns.
Delonte West -- With Nate Robinson and Marquis Daniels getting shipped out, West becomes the primary backup at both guard positions. His game is very fantasy friendly. He should see enough minutes to make an impact in deeper leagues.
James Johnson -- A forgotten man in Chicago, Johnson immediately got the start in Toronto ahead of Sonny Weems on Wednesday. I wouldn't add him just yet, but if he consistently plays 30 minutes per game, he should have some value.
Carl Landry -- David West could miss the next couple games due to a death in his family, so Landry will be thrown into the fire. Once West returns, he'll return to being a borderline fantasy option with the Hornets.
Marvin Williams -- Williams was already playing better, but by including Mo Evans in the deal for Hinrich, the Hawks are showing a lot of faith in him.
Chase Budinger -- Does Budinger take Shane Battier's starting job? That's my guess, and his skill set is extremely fantasy friendly.
Willie Green -- Green has played very well over the Hornets last six or so games and with Thornton out of town, his minutes should be even more stabilized. He's really only good for points, but will get a handful of three-pointers as well.
Marcus Thornton -- With Tyreke Evans and Francisco Garcia sidelined for a while, it's conceivable that Thornton gets his shot to run alongside Beno Udirh in the starting five. However, Jermaine Taylor just put up 21 points in a win over the Magic on Wednesday, so it's not a given.
Hasheem Thabeet -- Overcoming Marc Gasol for playing time is one thing. Overcoming Chuck Hayes and Brad Miller is something else entirely. Can Thabeet emerge as a rebounding and shot-blocking specialist? We're about to find out.
Amar'e Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony -- When superstars joined forces in Miami, Boston and Los Angeles, there was always the question of how it would work out. The answer to those questions was "very well." However, this is different in that Melo and STAT are below-average passers. The stars in the previous mixes were all willing and capable passers.
Carmelo was already outside of the top 25 players in fantasy basketball prior to the trade and there's no reason to think his production will improve despite the likelihood that he'll bring his best effort for the remainder of the season. Stoudemire may be affected even more. He had been a Top 5 option before the trade but lost his entire starting lineup (save Landry Fields). He now is the No. 2 option on an offense driven by a new point guard. Fantasy wise, this move hurts him.
Deron Williams -- It remains to be seen how Williams will adapt to the Nets. Never the most amicable personality, his initial comments on the trade didn't impress anyone in New Jersey. Avery Johnson is a no-nonsense coach, and Williams matches his stubbornness. Aside from that dynamic, the Nets are a far less-talented roster than the Jazz. They need him to put his best foot forward over the final two months, but I don't see where his motivation will come from. He'll have every opportunity to score 25 points and dish 10 dimes per game, but will he bring the fire this season?
Raymond Felton and Wilson Chandler -- Felton and Chandler were having exceptional seasons delivering fantasy value far above expectations. However, they are likely headed to backup roles with the Nuggets and although the Denver second unit will be as potent as any, the minutes won't be there to maintain their Knicks-pace. You should hold them both, but their values take a significant hit.
Baron Davis -- Baron and Byron Scott's tumultuous past is well-documented, but apparently time heals all wounds. Still, with a deplorable roster surrounding him, Davis is as likely to miss 20 games as appear in 20.
Gerald Wallace and Nicolas Batum -- Batum gets bumped out of the starting lineup with the arrival of Wallace in Portland, so the drop in value is obvious. Wallace will take time to get comfortable in the Northwest but once he does, he'll have a more talented cast surrounding him. Unless his defensive production can jump up to the levels of previous seasons, he'll lose value.
Jeff Green -- Green's playing time will take a dramatic hit now that he's backing up the Celtics' Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett. Hold him for now, but keep him benched.
Derrick Favors -- Now that he's in Utah, his rookie season has officially become irrelevant in the fantasy world.
Corey Brewer -- Brewer could potentially become the latest player to breakout in Mike D'Antoni's system, but the odds seem better that he is left on the deep end of the bench.
Tony Allen -- Allen was set to replace Rudy Gay in the starting five, but the acquisition of Battier moves him back to the Grizzlies' bench.
O.J. Mayo -- The Grizzlies tried to get rid of their disgruntled star, but failed to do so. Don't expect the already icy relationship between Mayo and coach Lionel Hollins to improve anytime soon.
Danilo Gallinari -- I get the feeling that George Karl is going to let Gallo shine in his Nuggets offense and he should be able to duplicate the 15.9 points and 1.7 three-pointers he was averaging as a Knick. Look for him to continue to disappoint in the other categories, though.
Kendrick Perkins and Nazr Mohammed -- Perkins' role and production with the Thunder will be no different than it was with the Celtics, though he could see a few more minutes once his knee gets back to 100 percent. Until then, Mohammed will hold some deep league value.