Scouting Report: Jets' Hill may prove gem of early-season pickups

Last season, a Week 1 loss meant you had first waiver priority on Cam Newton. He wound up leading teams to the fantasy postseason, if not the holy grail.

Victor Cruz was another waiver-wire prize to those who lost early last season, although he took until Week 3 to have his coming-out party.

Now neither of those early round picks looked good in Week 1, but maybe you can turn that frown upside down with the idea that you're due in Week 2!

There are talented players that fall through the draft day cracks every year and sometimes they reveal themselves conveniently early in the season and carry it throughout, like Newton and Cruz did a year ago.

That makes this week's SI.com fantasy football Scouting Report a good place to re-analyze the mid-week carnage that was the waiver wire. Just like the draft, mistakes were made in waivers (Kevin Ogletree), too, and opportunities were to be had (maybe Fred Jackson was cut too soon in your leagues?).

Re-evaluating the following top 10 most-added players in fantasy (according to CBSSports.com):

1. WR Kevin Ogletree, Cowboys (80 percent added) -- It won't be a great week for him after a dynamite debut. Improved health and more practice time for Tony Romo's top three targets, Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Jason Witten, should mean less time and targets for Week 2's No. 1 waiver pick-up.

2. WR Stephen Hill, Jets (56 percent added) -- Those who wound up with this rookie are going to be happier they have him than Ogletree in the long run, but they are going to be equally frustrated if they try to trust Hill in fantasy starting lineups against the Steelers. The Jets might not find the end zone in Pittsburgh, unless it is their own end zone.

3. RB Alfred Morris, Redskins (41 percent added) -- Unlike the two above, Morris proved to be his team's primary option at his position. He has a promising matchup against the Rams, so he should be active in most leagues.

4. WR Randall Cobb, Packers (32 percent added) -- Despite a terrible Thursday night, Cobb is a solid sleeper in deeper leagues, especially PPR formats, because he is working as the third-down back in a pass-heavy offense. Lining up his small frame at running back, though, subjects him to front-seven punishment a small-framed receiver just isn't accustomed to. He was banged up against the Bears and it might affect how he is used in future weeks.

5. TE Dennis Pitta, Ravens (31 percent added) -- With Ed Dickson not 100 percent, the Ravens' second tight end reeled in a touchdown in Week 1. A lot of marginal fantasy tight ends did last week. It is the way this position goes. Don't chase tight end touchdowns week-to-week on the waiver wire. Pitta is headed back to non-relevance in fantasy this Sunday at Philly.

6. RB Jonathan Dwyer, Steelers (29 percent added) -- If you watched Sunday night's game, Isaac Redman did little to think he would re-take the interim starting running back role from Dwyer. The Steelers, while they might be more reliant on Ben Roethlisberger and the passing game, still play great defense and will need their running game. Dwyer will be the man until Rashard Mendenhall is unleashed after knee surgery (perhaps October). Dwyer is the bruising back the Steelers will need against the tough Jets run defense.

7. WR James Jones, Packers (20 percent added) -- Like Cobb, Jones was a huge bust in Week 2, when he should have gotten all the targets that usually are reserved for Greg Jennings (groin), who was out. Somehow, instead, the Packers learned to use their running game. That's good news for Cedric Benson going forward but not great news for those hoping Jones was going to be Jennings- or even Jordy Nelson-like.

8. WR Dexter McCluster, Chiefs (26 percent added) -- Regardless of whether McCluster is a running back or a wide receiver in your league, it looks like he is going to get enough targets/touches as a slot receiver for Matt Cassel to be valuable. He is a decent start in Week 2 and might have the best chance after Morris above to be a consistent presence in starting lineups.

9. RB Knowshon Moreno, Broncos (21 percent added) -- It is a relief to know he is finally out of the John Fox doghouse; unless, of course, you reference that awful attempt at blocking on a blitz pickup that wound up with Peyton Manning get crushed. Moreno picked up a touchdown in Week 1 against a great Steelers run defense, something he won't do in Week 2 against a good, not great, Falcons run defense.

10. D/ST Oakland Raiders (19 percent added) -- They failed miserably at long snapping in Week 1, but this Sunday offers a cure: A trip to Miami and the weaponless Ryan Tannehill. This a great matchup play, of course, if you are streaming defenses -- a good strategy if you don't have one of the elite D/STs.

Did some overreact by cutting these guys?

1. WR Greg Little, Browns (20 percent dropped) -- Despite a catch-less opener, he should be owned in fantasy. It is not every week the Browns go up against a corner like Nnamdi Asomugha. Little will show more life against the Bengals. You might want to pick him up in the nearly 40 percent of leagues he is available.

2. RB Rashad Jennings, Jaguars (18 percent dropped) -- It isn't just the knee injury that saw him fall off the fantasy radar. Maurice Jones-Drew proved capable of running blind in a new Mike Mularkey offense with little practice time. Mularkey likes a feature back getting the bulk of the work, so MJD relegated the preseason sleeper Jennings to a fantasy nobody. Drop him like an Eli Manning pass into the hands of Cruz.

3. WR David Nelson, Bills (17 percent dropped) -- Nelson had some promise for the Bills, who had a lot of garbage time in Week 1 and figure to have a lot all season. Now fantasy owners would be better served turning their attention to Donald Jones and perhaps even speedy rookie T.J. Graham. Jones could prove to be the Bills' best fantasy player behind Spiller and Stevie Johnson.

4. D/ST Buffalo Bills (16 percent dropped) -- Whoa! As in woeful performance against an offense that didn't show a thing in the preseason. It should be better against the Chiefs, but the bet here is you won't miss this defense, regardless of what hype the marquee front seven gets.

5. WR Jon Baldwin, Chiefs (14 percent dropped) -- We probably shouldn't have lost sight of Steve Breaston late in drafts like we did, but we also shouldn't lose sight of the potential breakout second-year wide receiver Baldwin can be either. Pick him back up before he exposes a Bills defense that made the likes of Mark Sanchez, Jeremy Kerley and Hill look good.

6. RB Evan Royster, Redskins (14 percent dropped) -- It is a Mike Shanahan team, but running backs regularly roll into the coach's doghouse. That makes Royster a stash. That Robert Griffin III-led offense looks like it has some serious juice.

7. RB Ronnie Hillman, Broncos (14 percent dropped) -- The preseason hype appears to be merely that. Moreno is now the Willis McGahee handcuff and Hillman might merely be a long-term flier.

8. RB Ronnie Brown, Chargers (12 percent dropped) -- So much for Brown shouldering the load until Ryan Mathews (shoulder) returns, which may happen this weekend. Mathews should be avoided if he plays, but neither Brown nor bruiser Curtis Brinkley belong on rosters, much less in fantasy lineups now.

9. D/ST Seattle Seahawks (12 percent dropped) -- They are much better at home with their 12th Man, but facing that Cowboys offense looks like one of the most unfavorable matchups for D/STs this season -- particularly since the Cowboys D/ST is going to position their offense in much better this season. The Seahawks are on the waiver-wire shuttle for D/ST streamers.

10. WR Brian Quick, Rams (11 percent dropped) -- The rookie didn't record a catch, and Sam Bradford looks fully intent on targeting Danny Amendola, Brandon Gibson and Steve Smith, in that order. Quick is merely a long-term keeper flier, so cut him if you need targets now.

Eric Mack writes fantasy for SI.com. Track his weekly starts and sits every Wednesday, his Scouting Report on Friday and his Fantasy Fast Forward on Sunday nights. You find also him on Twitter, where you can mock him, rip him and (doubtful) praise him before asking him for fantasy advice or challenging him to a head-to-head fantasy game @EricMackFantasy. He reads all the messages there (guaranteed) and takes them very, very personally (not really).