Redick dominates among efficiency era shooting guards, wings
Tuesday's look at the
The goal of the Value Add formula, developed by John Pudner and explained
It turns out that the season of "RedMo," as Grant Wahl
Herewith, the top 10:
Anderson won Big 12 Player of the Year for this campaign, after which he jumped to the NBA, but I don't think I properly appreciated how good he was in college. Had he not been on a middling team that lost (as a No. 7 seed) in the first round of the NCAA tournament, his brilliance might have resonated more among the national press. The Spurs made an excellent value pick by grabbing him late in the 2010 first round, even if his rookie season was derailed by a broken foot.
Durant provided the must-watch regular season of the decade, as the game's most unstoppable scorer and the only freshman to make this list. (Carmelo Anthony's 2002-03 was the next-highest Value Add by a freshman; at 6.77 percent, it ranked 18th.) It's amazing to think that Durant was barely 18 at the time; after the first college game I witnessed him play in person, at Villanova, his mom walked him to the news conference holding his hand. So young, so amazing.
This was Curry's final season as a shooting guard, as he played alongside point-man Jason Richards and led the Wildcats to the Elite Eight. After one of the most memorable NCAA tournament performances of alltime, Curry came back to school and moved to point, posting a Value Add of 6.02 percent as a junior. He was a more-than-competent floor general, but he was at his best when playing off the ball.
SI put Jameer Nelson on its St. Joe's cover in 2004, but West actually added more value, at 7.63 percent to Nelson's 7.09, which ranked him 14th on the list of efficiency-era point guards. West has since become more famous for other things, like an epic
Douby's junior season may go down as the most irrelevant/for-naught great campaign by a two-guard. He had a subpar supporting cast on the Scarlet Knights, who went 19-14 and lost in the second round of the NIT. He has since
Roy didn't get Redick/Morrison-level attention for his phenomenal senior season, which foreshadowed an NBA Rookie of the Year campaign in '06-07. With former stars Nate Robinson and Will Conroy gone from the program, Roy took on the main scoring and playmaking duties, and led the Huskies to a second-place finish in the Pac-10.
This is Redick's junior year, when he won the first of his two ACC Player of the Year awards, and Duke was upset in the Sweet 16 by Michigan State. Part of his immense value lied in the fact that Coach K rarely needed to take him off the floor, due to much-improved conditioning from his freshman and sophomore seasons.
Jackson, who was picked 10th by the Cavs following this season, has gone down as an NBA bust, only appearing in 76 total games before falling out of the league. But there was a reason he was drafted so high: He was one of the greatest college wing players of his decade, and he closed out his senior season by scoring 29 straight points for the Ducks during one stretch of an NIT victory.
Morrison was willing to shoot from anywhere, but he wasn't a wasteful gunner. Only three other players in my database posted seasons in which they used more than 30 percent of their team's possessions and still had an offensive rating of at least 120: Morehead State's Ricky Minard, in '02-03; Davidson's Curry, in '07-08; and Utah State's Ryan Toolson, in '08-09.
Redick was the most hated player in college hoops, but he wasn't overrated. He posted his Wooden-and-Naismith worthy numbers going against the second-toughest slate of defenses (average efficiency: 94.7) in the database, and took his game to the next level by adding a slashing element to his already lethal long-range shooting. His senior year goes down as the gold standard for modern-era shooting guards.
The wildest thing here: Steve Novak's final season at Marquette actually had more Value Add than did Dwyane Wade's. Also, the formula makes Josh Howard look like far less of an NBA Draft sleeper than was the general consensus in the media.
11. 7.33%: Jaycee Carroll, Utah State, 2007-08
12. 7.27%: Steve Novak, Marquette, 2005-06
13. 7.15%: Dwyane Wade, Marquette, 2002-03
14. 7.00%: Mike Gansey, West Virginia, 2005-06
15. 6.98%: Jaycee Carroll, Utah State, 2006-07
16. 6.90%: David Hawkins, Temple, 2003-04
17. 6.90%: Henry Domercant, Eastern Illinois, 2002-03
18. 6.77%: Carmelo Anthony, Syracuse, 2002-03
19. 6.64%: Josh Howard, Wake Forest, 2002-03
20. 6.62%: James Harden, Arizona State, 2008-09
1. 6.29%: Jon Diebler, Ohio State
2. 6.25%: Marshon Brooks, Providence
3. 6.18%: John Jenkins, Vanderbilt
4. 6.17%: Nolan Smith, Duke
5. 5.95%: Devon Beitzel, Northern Colorado
6. 5.84%: Alec Burks, Colorado
7. 5.79%: Jimmy Butler, Marquette
8. 5.55%: Marcus Denmon, Missouri
9. 5.06%: Ken Horton, Central Connecticut State
10. 5.04%: Andrew Goudelock, College of Charleston