Friday October 2nd, 2015

The Week 4 NFL slate isn’t exactly the most appealing card you’ll ever see, but nevertheless there are some opportunities to capitalize on some soft lines.

As we’ve been preaching all year long, the betting public is quick to overreact to what they saw last week, and we look to take advantage of situations where perception and reality are different.

The Chiefs were shellacked by the Packers on Monday Night Football. Kansas City trailed by 17 points at halftime and were behind by 24 points midway through the fourth quarter. All in all, it was a dreadful performance by the Chiefs, but it’s not uncommon to see teams get blown out at Lambeau Field. The defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks lost by double-digits in Green Bay in Week 2.

The Playbook: A complete guide to Week 4 action around the NFL

Kansas City still boasts a plethora of talent on both sides of the ball, and they catch the Bengals in a huge flat spot this week, after Cincinnati improved to 3–0 with a narrow victory in Baltimore. With the Chiefs getting four points at sportsbooks monitored by, we think they’re worth a look.

The Eagles got off to a terrible start this year but got back on track with a road win against the Jets in Week 3. Or did they? Philadelphia was terrible once again, mustering just 231 yards of total offense. If it weren’t for a Darren Sproles punt return touchdown in the second quarter, the Eagles would likely still be winless heading into this week.

Meanwhile, the Redskins come into this week’s contest with a few extra days to prepare, and that should certainly help against an Eagles squad that’s been rather lifeless.

With the Eagles favored by three points on the road, the implication from the oddsmakers is that they would be nine-point favorites at home, and that’s simply asinine. We’ll grab the line value with the 'Skins.

Week 4 picks: Slumping teams looking to avoid fading from race

The 49ers have lost their last two games by a combined 65 points, but both of those contests came on the road. San Francisco’s only home game this season saw them upset the Vikings, who have since gone on to win their next two games.

It’s admittedly scary to think about backing Colin Kaepernick against Aaron Rodgers, but the 49ers are at their lowest point, and the Packers are likely at their highest, coming off of a double-digit primetime victory. Hold your nose and grab the eight points with the home team.

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