Friday October 9th, 2015

With four weeks of games in the books NFL bettors aren’t forced to do as much guesswork at this point in the season. A full month of games may still be a limited sample size, but there is enough data and visual evidence for the average bettor to start to form conclusions.

Subsequently, Week 5 presents a great opportunity to wager on teams that are being undervalued in the betting market, and vice-versa.

There were high expectations for the Eagles heading into the year, but they’ve gotten off to an absolutely horrible start. With that being said, Philadelphia won the box score battle on the road in Washington last week, averaging a full yard per play more than the Redskins, so there are certainly reasons for optimism.

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The Eagles return home to battle a Saints team that barely eked by Brandon Weeden and the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. New Orleans is a team that should be in rebuild mode, as they have holes all over their roster. Sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com are offering the Eagles at -5 and that is a reasonable line with the home team.

The Bengals and Seahawks are two teams that are trending in opposite directions. Despite representing the NFC in the Super Bowl last season, the Seahawks have looked rather ordinary this season, mainly due to their horrible offensive line play.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, has played like a legitimate Super Bowl contender. The posted line of Bengals -3 implies that these teams are considered equal in the eyes of oddsmakers, but that couldn’t be further from the truth right now. To make matters worse for the Seahawks, this is a rough situational spot to have to play an early game in the Eastern Time Zone on a short week. Lay the three points with the home team.

Monday Night Football features an AFC battle between the Chargers and Steelers. Pittsburgh is in serious trouble with Michael Vick under center. Vick simply cannot run the Steelers offense in the same manner that Big Ben did, and the defense isn’t good enough to make up for Vick’s lack of ability at this point in his career.

The Chargers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six Monday night games, and similarly to the game described above, we’re not convinced that these teams are even, as the odds would imply. This is another great spot for the home team, so we’ll lay a field goal with Philip Rivers and the better overall team.


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