Thursday October 15th, 2015

Week 6 of the NFL season is here, and bettors now have enough of a sample size to start figuring out whether or not teams are performing above or below their true talent level. This week’s best bets revolve around teams that are significantly undervalued or overvalued by the betting market.

Miami has been abysmal through its first four games of the season, but most of its struggles can be attributed to poor coaching and a general lack of effort. With the Dolphins coming off a bye week with a new head coach, expect to see a rejuvenated squad.

Miami gets Brandon Albert back on its offensive line this week, and that will go a long way toward protecting Ryan Tannehill and opening up the Dolphins running game. The Titans simply aren’t that good, and they have some major holes in their secondary, which Tannehill should be capable of exploiting.

If this game took place in Week 1, the Dolphins would be a field-goal favorite, so we’ll gladly capitalize on this overreaction and grab Miami +1.5 on the Week 6 NFL betting lines at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Bengals are coming off an amazing comeback victory over the Seahawks and carry their perfect record into Buffalo this weekend. This appears to be a terrible spot for Cincinnati, as it could be overconfident against a Bills team that’s forced to turn to EJ Manuel at quarterback.

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The truth is that Manuel is not much of a downgrade from inconsistent Tyrod Taylor, and the Bills have the defense to make life difficult for Andy Dalton. The Bills have also historically dominated this matchup, going 10-2 straight up and against the spread in their last 12 games against the Bengals according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

There’s no denying that Cincinnati is a good football team, but its victory over Seattle has inflated this line and we’ll gladly grab the 3.5 points with the home team.

Cleveland walked into Baltimore and upset the Ravens last week, but that victory doesn’t look all that impressive when you consider just how bad the Ravens are right now. While it’s always tempting to grab points with a home underdog, it’s hard to see Josh McCown doing much of anything against a prolific Broncos defense this weekend.

Peyton Manning has looked like a shell of his former self but that hasn’t stopped Denver from going 4-1 against the spread this season, not to mention 5-0 straight up. Sometimes it’s easy to overthink things, and in this case, we’ll do exactly what we think we should do and fade a Browns team that looked a lot better than they actually are last week. Lay the four points with Denver.

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