Week 11 of the NFL season is here, and with it comes three opportunities to take advantage of soft lines that have been hung by the oddsmakers. As we outlined last week, public perception is often different from reality, and subsequently we can take advantage of lines that have been influenced by perception.
The Lions host the Raiders this week, and while people want to believe that Detroit’s victory in Green Bay was a fluke, we’re not buying it. Their defense was extremely stingy coming out of their bye week, and even though Detroit's offense wasn’t all that effective, they protected the ball.
People often forget that the Raiders are only a four-win team because they’re enamored with the emergence of Derek Carr at quarterback, but this is a team worth fading while they’re overvalued.
With this game being offered at a pick’em price at some sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, we’ll grab the Lions at home.
Cincinnati put up an embarrassing showing on Monday Night Football, which has created some great line value for them as they visit the Cardinals on Sunday night this week.
Prior to last week’s games the Bengals were listed as three-point dogs in Arizona, but that number has spiked to five points after Week 10. Cincinnati is a team that thrives in the underdog role, going 7–2 straight up and against the spread in their last nine games as dogs according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
The Bengals are one of the few teams in football that can match the Cardinals’ talent on both sides of the ball, and they could catch Arizona in a letdown spot following their upset victory over the Seahawks. Grab the five points with the Bengals.
The Bills’ quarterback play was abysmal without Taylor, but the offense has found its form with his return. Meanwhile, Tom Brady just lost one of his favorite weapons in Julian Edelman, and while Danny Amendola is a suitable replacement, he is certainly a downgrade for the clear favorites to win the AFC championship this season.