Analysts Conflicted On Predicting Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougars Winner

Many college football analysts are conflicted on predicting who will win the Colorado Buffaloes' Big 12 Conference opener against the Houston Cougars. Some are rolling with the favored Cougars while others believe CU quarterback Ryan Staub will lead the Buffs to victory.
Oct 28, 2023; Pasadena, California, USA; Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders reacts against the UCLA Bruins in the first half at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Oct 28, 2023; Pasadena, California, USA; Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders reacts against the UCLA Bruins in the first half at Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Largely due to the emergence of Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Ryan Staub and the Houston Cougars' unrevealing first two games, there isn't exactly a clear favorite heading into Friday's matchup.

Colorado is still looking to find its identity on both sides of the ball while Houston, led by second-year coach Willie Fritz, has yet to prove itself against Power Four opponents. The Cougars blanked Stephen F. Austin to begin their season and rolled past Rice this past weekend, likely hiding plenty from the 1-1 Buffs.

As Colorado's Big 12 Conference opener approaches, check out what college football analysts across the country are saying about the Week 3 matchup.

Max Chadwick, Pro Football Focus

Analysts Predictions Colorado Buffaloes Houston Cougars Big 12 Football Deion Sanders Willie Fritz Ryan Staub Conner Weigman
Sep 6, 2025; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Colorado Buffaloes running back Micah Welch (29) celebrates a touchdown with offensive lineman Xavier Hill (71) in the second half against the Delaware Fightin Blue Hens at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Pro Football Focus' Max Chadwick predicts the Buffs will edge out a 24-21 road win despite some uncertainties at quarterback. Staub is expected to start, but Kaidon Salter may also see action depending on how things go for coach Deion Sanders' squad in Houston.

"I know there's a bit of a quarterback controversy down there in Boulder, but I think Colorado's pass D game has a big, big advantage over (Houston quarterback) Conner Weigman in this game with the amount of man coverage they run and how good I think that secondary can be for Colorado," Chadwick said. "While Houston's secondary has looked good through two games, it was Stephen F. Austin and Rice, and last year, Houston had the 90th coverage grade in America."

Analysts Predictions Colorado Buffaloes Houston Cougars Big 12 Football Deion Sanders Willie Fritz Ryan Staub Conner Weigman
Sep 6, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Cougars quarterback Conner Weigman (1) looks for an open receiver during the second quarter against the Rice Owls at Rice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images | Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

For Chadwick's prediction to come true, Colorado will need a bounce-back game from nickel Preston Hodge and continued production from cornerbacks DJ McKinney and RJ Johnson.

Fellow PFF analyst Dalton Wasserman, however, picked Houston to win a low-scoring affair, 20-16. Wasserman cited Houston's home-field advantage and its established offensive weapons in Weigman and running back Dean Connors.

Adam Munsterteiger, BuffStampede

Analysts Predictions Colorado Buffaloes Houston Cougars Big 12 Football Deion Sanders Willie Fritz Ryan Staub Conner Weigman
Sep 6, 2025; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Ryan Staub (16) calls for the ball in the second half against the Delaware Fightin Blue Hens at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Local reporter Adam Munsterteiger of BuffStampede believes Colorado-Houston is essentially a coin-toss game due to its unpredictability, although it's one the Buffs should win if they want to compete for a Big 12 title. He ultimately selected Colorado to win, 27-24.

"I don't think Houston has gotten punched in the mouth yet, and it's gonna happen Friday," Munsterteiger said on a podcast with BuffZone's Brian Howell. "It's gonna be a competitive game, but I think this is a Houston program trending in the right direction — not quite to the spot where they should be favored by 4.5 (points) over a team like Colorado at this point."

Howell also picked the Buffs to leave Houston victorious, 24-20.

MORE: 3 Big Fixes for Deion Sanders’ Colorado Buffaloes Ahead of Big 12 Play

MORE: Colorado's Ryan Staub Named Starting Quarterback: Julian Lewis, Kaidon Salter Impact

MORE: Deion Sanders To Break Silence on Colorado Buffaloes Quarterback Competition

MORE: Houston Cougars' Willie Fritz Reveals Surprising Preparation For Colorado Buffaloes

MORE: Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Back Makes Triumphant Return After Heart Surgery

Joe Tillery, Heartland College Sports

Analysts Predictions Colorado Buffaloes Houston Cougars Big 12 Football Deion Sanders Willie Fritz Ryan Staub Conner Weigman
Sep 6, 2025; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Colorado Buffaloes wide receiver Kaleb Mathis (13) and wide receiver Isaiah Hardge (17) celebrate a special teams play in the second half against the Delaware Fightin Blue Hens at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Heartland College Sports writer Joe Tillery sided with the Cougars, 31-27.

"In judging the two squads, Houston should have an advantage in the trenches, but it’ll be a toss-up due to Coach Prime’s always streaky offense," Tillery wrote. "My gut says to go with the better team on paper, and to me, that is the Cougars for now."


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Jack Carlough
JACK CARLOUGH

Jack Carlough is lead reporter for Colorado Buffaloes on SI. Jack graduated from the University of Colorado with a bachelor's degree in journalism and minors in business and sports media. Born and raised in the Boulder area, Jack began covering Colorado athletics in 2018 and was the head sports editor of the CU Independent during his college career. More recently, he spent over three years as the managing editor of the USA Today Sports Network's Colorado Buffaloes Wire, where he covered Colorado's hiring of head football coach Deion Sanders. Other publications Jack has written for include the Boulder Daily Camera, Left Hand Valley Courier and SB Nation’s Ralphie Report. In 2022, the Colorado Press Association awarded Jack second place in its annual Class 5 Best Sports Column Writing category.