Skip to main content

After just a one-week offseason, a fresh PGA Tour season is upon us and begins in wine country before the U.S. and Europe battle it out for the Ryder Cup in Wisconsin.

If you need a quick refresh on how last season finished, Patrick Cantlay was able to hold off Jon Rahm for the FedEx Cup via a staggered start. The win was a mirror of Cantlay’s triumph at the Memorial this year because even though he lifted the trophy, Rahm was the better player that week as well and throughout the year. Whether or not the Tour will revamp the playoffs once again remains to be seen.

We now begin the season at the familiar Silverado Resort and Spa North in Napa, Calif. However, it will not be for the Safeway Open, but the Fortinet Championship, as the tournament has flipped sponsors. Last year, this week marked the beginning of the semi-renaissance of Tour veteran Stewart Cink, but he will not be in attendance to defend his title. This championship and certainly throughout the fall, represent the best opportunities for the lesser-known pros to catapult themselves into the FedEx Cup playoff discussion for 2022.

According to SI Sportsbook, world No. 1 Jon Rahm is the clear favorite at 4-1 as he looks to remain sharp before the Ryder Cup. To follow is Webb Simpson at 14-1, perhaps motivated by not making the Ryder Cup team to make some noise prior to many of the world’s best arriving in Wisconsin. Next up is Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama at 18-1. To close out the notables is Kevin Na at 22-1 off his impressive FedEx Cup playoff run.

For our favorite, we like the value in Kevin Na at 22-1. Na has been on a tear since missing the cut at the U.S. Open. He’s made seven straight cuts and finished in the top-25 six times with three of those results being in the top five. Just two weeks ago, Na tied the low 72-hole score at East Lake. With it being a weaker field and not much top talent to fight through, Na is in prime position to break through for a win.

For a midrange pick, Colombian Sebastian Munoz looks delectable at 40-1. Over his last 24 rounds, Munoz ranks in the top-10 in strokes gained: ball-striking, approach, tee-to-green and 15th overall. He has also finished in the top-30 in five of his last six events, which included two T-4 results. His lone PGA Tour win came at the 2019 Sanderson Farms Championship, which was also a fall event. Munoz should be full of confidence and ready to contend.

For a sleeper, Brendan Steele makes the most sense at 80-1. A back-to-back winner of this tournament is always the right call at this number. Outside of his 2016 and 2017 victories, he’s also never missed a cut when teeing it up at Silverado Resort and Spa North. At the same time, Steele will be looking for a fresh start with the new season because he’s missed the cut in four of his last five starts. However, this track should be just the medicine he’s looking for since he’s second in stokes gained: total over his last 24 rounds here.

2021-22 picks scoreboard:

Winners:
Top 5s:
Top 10s:
Top 20s:

2021 Fortinet Championship: Latest betting odds

Here are some notable odds, according to SI Sportsbook:

  • Jon Rahm 4-1
  • Webb Simpson 14-1
  • Hideki Matsuyama 18-1
  • Kevin Na 22-1
  • Will Zalatoris 25-1
  • Cameron Tringale 30-1
  • Cameron Champ 33-1
  • Harold Varner 33-1
  • Charley Hoffman 40-1
  • Emiliano Grillo 40-1
  • Marc Leishman 40-1
  • Si-Woo Kim 40-1
  • Sebastian Munoz 40-1
  • Maverick McNealy 45-1
  • Max Homa 50-1
  • Brendon Todd 50-1
  • Mito Pereira 60-1
  • Stephan Jaeger 60-1
  • Brandt Snedeker 60-1
  • Chez Reavie 60-1
  • Roger Sloan 66-1
  • Talor Gooch 66-1
  • Adam Hadwin 70-1
  • Doug Ghim 70-1
  • Charles Howell 70-1
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat 70-1
  • Brian Stuard 80-1
  • Pat Perez 80-1
  • Ryan Moore 80-1
  • Sahith Theegala 80-1
  • Brendan Steele 80-1
  • Taylor Moore 80-1
  • Lucas Herbert 80-1
  • Harry Higgs 80-1
  • Peter Uihlein 80-1
  • C.T. Pan 80-1
  • Dylan Frittelli 90-1
  • Aaron Rai 90-1
  • Adam Svensson 100-1
  • Chad Ramey 100-1
  • Greyson Sigg 100-1
  • Taylor Pendrith 100-1
  • Danny Willett 100-1
  • Tom Hoge 100-1
  • Patton Kizzire 100-1
  • Lanto Griffin 100-1
  • Adam Schenk 100-1
  • Sepp Straka 100-1
  • Joseph Bramlett 100-1
  • Troy Merritt 100-1
  • Doc Redman 100-1
  • Nick Taylor 100-1
  • Luke List 100-1
  • Hudson Swafford 125-1
  • John Huh 125-1
  • Andrew Putnam 125-1
  • Scott Piercy 125-1
  • Patrick Rodgers 125-1
  • J.T. Poston 125-1
  • Ryan Armour 125-1
  • Matt Kuchar 125-1
  • Alex Smalley 125-1
  • Russell Knox 125-1
  • David Lipsky 125-1
  • Hayden Buckley 125-1
  • Michael Thompson 125-1
  • Joshua Creel 125-1
  • Scott Stallings 150-1
  • Dylan Wu 150-1
  • Kurt Kitayama 150-1
  • Chun-An Yu 150-1
  • Brice Garnett 150-1
  • Kyle Stanley 150-1
  • Kevin Tway 150-1
  • Andrew Novak 150-1
  • Denny McCarthy 150-1
  • Bronson Burgoon 150-1
  • Cameron Young 150-1
  • Vincent Whaley 150-1
  • Jason Dufner 150-1
  • Brandon Wu 150-1
  • Trey Mullinax 150-1
  • Hank Lebioda 150-1
  • Bo Hoag 150-1
  • Mark Hubbard 150-1
  • Chesson Hadley 150-1
  • Cameron Percy 150-1