For better, for worse: Hot starters
"Out of the blue" is an expression that describes an event or occurrence that takes place unexpectedly, without warning or provocation. Due to the abundance of statistical analysis surrounding the game of baseball, it would seem almost impossible for anything to happen that could be accurately described as "out of the blue". Baseball statistics are measured with a level of care and precision normally reserved for astronauts and engineers. The fact that anything can escape the watchful eye of baseball prognosticators is something of a minor miracle. And yet, every year, anomalous events (e.g. no-hitters) and unforeseen occurrences (e.g. break-out seasons) happen with astonishing frequency.
After a 2007 season that included 6.29 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and even a minor league demotion,
While patience is normally the preferred approach early in the year, sleeping on a breakthrough candidate can cost a fantasy owner a season of success. Fortunately, not all breakout seasons are created equally, and there are statistical markers that offer insights into which players may be getting better, and which may suddenly take a turn for the worse.