Scouting Report: Future looks bright for Simpson, not Ogletree
Fantasy football tends to be a reactionary game. Football, after all, is a game of reading and reacting. Anticipating can get you in trouble.
You read fantasy analysis and then react.
In SI.com's Week 4 Scouting Report let's try to do a little more anticipating, which can come in handy during the bye season. It gets very competitive on the waiver wire, so we will try to help get you ahead of the curve by projecting what the Week 5 will look like:
Week 1 not only seems like a long time ago, it's light years away for Ogletree. After getting another disappointing week out of the most-added player going into Week 2, he'll wind up on waivers in most of the 76 percent of leagues in which he is still owned. It won't just be his poor numbers Monday night against the Bears defense. It will also be a function of his heading into a bye.
Somehow the hype has skipped this guy. He front-flipped for a touchdown a season ago, registering the play of the year, and leaped over a defender in the preseason. This freakish athlete has disappeared in fantasy after a three-game suspension but he returns against a Lions defense that was torched by the Titans a week ago.
This is a dangerous prediction, because the Patriots have made Kevin Kolb look capable and Joe Flacco look like a star in back-to-back weeks. Fitzpatrick has gotten off to a start as impressive as the one he got off to last season. It looks like another great week to be happy with Fitzpatrick as your starter. Well, those game-breaking Bills running backs are still somewhat broken, and the Pats defense is a lot better than it has shown. The Bills played great against the Patriots last season, rallying to beat them once and building a huge lead the second time. But the Pats are not going to lose three consecutive games and avoiding that will require making Fitzpatrick look like the low-end fantasy backup quarterback he is.
Andre Brown looked like he gave the Giants offense a new dimension in Week 3. Really, he was merely in the right place in the right time. Trusting the journeyman against the Eagles run defense is a bad idea in Week 4. In fact, Brown is going to wind up as the Giants third-best running back shortly. Sell high on this flash in the pan.
Pierre Garcon's foot injury -- and Josh Morgan's momentary lapse in (poor) judgment -- has given Hankerson an opportunity to step forward for the Redskins. Santana Moss looks like the biggest has-been in fantasy and Robert Griffin III looks like the next big thing. Someone is going to benefit and the former Miami Hurricane is a pretty good bet. Owned in just 16 percent of CBSSports.com fantasy leagues, Hankerson has talent and an incredible opportunity before him.