Fantasy Baseball Steal: Pitcher Dinelson Lamet

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After getting Tommy John surgery in 2018, Padres pitcher Dinelson Lamet is ready to make his Major League debut in 2020. San Diego’s right hander was having a great Spring Training, allowing no runs in his 10 innings before the coronavirus put the season on hold. Dinelson is currently undervalued as a starting-pitcher in fantasy baseball drafts. His Average Draft Position is 122nd overall and 43rd for pitchers.

Sports Illustrated’s fantasy baseball analysts Jaime Eisner and Shawn Childs joined Corey Parson to discuss Dinelson’s outlook for the 2020 fantasy baseball season.

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Read the full transcript from the interview:

Corey Parson: Major League Baseball could very well be on the way back. That means fantasy baseball could very well be on the way back. Many of you drafted your teams already, but some of you will get a chance to do it a little bit later on. Now, with that being said, I want to bring in SI fantasy and gambling analyst Shawn Childs and Jamie Eisner to talk a little fantasy baseball. Shawn, in 2018, you had Dinelson Lament as your breakout player. He ended up tearing up his elbow. What do you think about him coming into the 2020 season? 

Shawn Childs: He had an electric finish to the year, he had three double digits strikeout games. His slider was impressive. 77 out of 104 strikeouts. The only problem with him right now is he pitches in a great ballpark, but he walked like 3.7 batters per 9 last year and that's kind of what he did in his minor league career. Pitching in San Diego is definitely going to be impactful as long as everybody plays where they're supposed to. He's going to draw a lot of attention and drafts this year. And my only concern for him as far as wins is if he is walking, guys, will he pitch into the 7th inning where he's going to get enough wins to be impactful? His strikeouts should be there. His ERA is going to be in the upper echelon of pitchers this year. And the only question will his WHIP be there and will he get enough wins for fantasy players? But I mean, there's a lot to like here, but you got to be careful not to overdraft him. 

Corey Parson: Jamie, has anything changed as we've been in the pause with Lamet, has his ADP gone up, gone down? And what do you think about him coming into the season now? How would you rank him? 

Jaime Eisner: It's remained pretty steady. He was really a fantasy darling in the pre-season, but he's kind of sticking right around where he is now, right around SP 40. I would take him a little bit higher than that around SP 30. He's now two years post that Tommy John surgery, showed an increase fastball velocity last year, along with that dynamic change up Sean talked about. We saw a swinging strike rate go up 2.2 percent last year. I think it's very reasonable that we could see him hover around a 3-8 ERA, a 1-2 WHIP, and north of 11 strikeouts per nine, which is incredibly valuable in fantasy. But as Sean said, walks and going deep enough in the games, are going to be the concern for him.

Corey Parson: All right. Thanks a lot, Shawn. Thanks a lot, Jamie. For the latest in Major League Baseball and fantasy baseball, keep it locked right here at SI.com. 

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