Final Score Predictions For Tonight's Matchup Between The Hawks and the Wizards

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After blowing a 23-point lead last night against the Denver Nuggets, the Atlanta Hawks are heading to Washington to play the Wizards, who are going to be missing plenty of key players in tonight's game.
The last time these two teams met, it did not go the way that anyone would have expected. The Wizards got out to a hot start shooting the ball and blew the Hawks out at home, handing the Hawks arguably their worst loss of the season. Tonight, Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, Corey Kispert, Tre Johnson, and others are going to be out and Washington is going to be missing some serious fire power.
Looking at the numbers
In the game preview for tonight, our own Rohan Raman took a closer look at the advanced numbers for the Hawks through their first 24 games:
"Despite the loss, the Hawks offense did a good job of getting back on track after two straight games playing like one of the worst units in the NBA. At the moment, they're 15th in points, 9th in FG%, 7th in 3P%, 19th in FT%, 25th in rebounds (25th in OREB, 19th in DREB), 1st in assists and 17th in turnovers per game. They're 18th in offensive rating on the year - there's no reason that number should decline after playing this Wizards lineup.
Denver has one of the best offenses in the NBA, so it isn't very surprising that the Hawks didn't have a great night on defense. Still, on a per-game basis, the Hawks rank 16th in points allowed, 14th in FG% allowed, 8th in 3P% allowed, 24th in rebounds allowed, 5th in steals and 13th in blocks. They're 9th in defensive rating on the year, which is still a very good mark. The defense couldn't get it done against an elite offense, but they also muted Denver for the first half and there shouldn't be much concern over the defense going forward.
The Wizards' offense is severely lacking and they're entirely susceptible to shooting variance in order to run a coherent offense right now. Injuries have taken a toll on what was already a bad offense and the numbers aren't pretty. They're 25th in points, 21st in FG%, 12th in 3P%, 29th in FT%, 20th in rebounds (20th in OREB), 21st in assists and 28th in turnovers per game. This is a team that regularly makes mistakes on offense that can be exploited.
Despite having a defensive anchor in Alex Sarr, Washington's defense is still struggling to find its way. They're 30th in points allowed, 24th in FG% allowed, 27th in 3P% allowed, 30th in rebounds allowed, 28th in steals and 4th in blocks. Once again, Atlanta will be going up against a fairly weak defense and they'll be even worse on that end without Alex Sarr, who's been playing like one of the 15 best defenders in the NBA this year."
With only Kristaps Porzingis out tonight, I think the Hawks should get the win. The game in Washington last time out was a wake up call for this team to take every game seriously and Jalen Johnson is coming off a historical performance. Hawks get the win and head into a mini break with a little momentum.
Final Score: Hawks 125, Wizards 115
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Jackson Caudell has been covering Georgia Tech Athletics For On SI since March 2022 and the Atlanta Hawks for On SI since October 2023. Jackson is also the co-host of the Bleav in Georgia Tech podcast and he loves to bring thoughtful analysis and comprehensive coverage to everything that he does. Find him on X @jacksoncaudell
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