The St. Louis Rams aren’t winning many games lately, but they have been exciting to watch over the past month. The Rams are just 1-3 straight-up and against the spread in 2014, but their last three games have each come within a few points of the closing line. Their opponent in Monday Night Football, the San Francisco 49ers, enter the matchup as three-point road favorites, but the Niners are just 1-3 against the spread in their last four trips to St. Louis.
St. Louis is coming off a 34-28 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week, a loss in which they failed to cover the four-point spread at several sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Rams did, however, rally back from a 34-7 deficit with three unanswered touchdowns in a little more than 10 minutes toward the end of the game, making many bettors sweat and costing some of those who got Philly at a higher number. St. Louis had blown a 21-0 lead in its previous game before its bye week, falling 34-31 to the Dallas Cowboys as a 1.5-point home underdog. The Rams won their only game this season in Week 2, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19-17 as 4.5-point road dogs.
San Francisco has played close to the NFL odds recently as well. The 49ers topped the Kansas City Chiefs 22-17 last week as 4.5-point home favorites to cover the spread, but they failed to beat the number in their previous game against the Philadelphia Eagles, falling just short of the seven-point spread in a 26-21 home victory. However, San Francisco has been nearly unbeatable as a road favorite over the past two years, going 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS. The lone loss during that stretch came in Week 3 of this season when the 49ers dropped a 23-14 decision to the Arizona Cardinals as three-point chalk.
Regarding this San Francisco vs. St. Louis matchup, the divisional and situational betting trends seem to back the home team. The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against NFC West opponents, while the 49ers are just 3-9 versus the line in their past 12 road matchups with divisional foes. We may also see a high-scoring game, as the OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings at the Edward Jones Dome.