The Chiefs (9–3) will host the AFC West-leading Raiders (10–2) in their biggest game of the season on Thursday night, opening as 3.5-point favorites at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Kansas City will be going for the series sweep of their division rivals after winning 26–10 in Week 6 and can take the lead in the AFC West with their eighth victory in nine games overall.
The Chiefs’ defense dominated their first game, holding Oakland quarterback Derek Carr to 225 passing yards, one touchdown and one interception while sacking him twice. That remains Carr’s fourth-lowest passing total on the season and one of just five games in which he threw a pick.
Since that loss to Kansas City, the Raiders have reeled off six straight wins though, going 5–1 on the NFL point spreads. In their last three games, they trailed by a touchdown or more and were able to rally back and pick up the victory, a testament to the team’s perseverance under coach Jack Del Rio.
Oakland has won three in a row at home during that stretch too, not including the game played at Mexico City against the Texans. The Raiders had gone 2–2 in their first four games at the Coliseum prior to their winning streak.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are coming off back-to-back road wins over the Falcons and Broncos by a combined four points. They have won five consecutive games away from home both straight up and against the spread, dating back to the first meeting at Oakland.
However, the Raiders have found success at Arrowhead Stadium over the past decade, at least covering the number, going 8–2 ATS in the past 10 road meetings according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
In addition, Kansas City is just 1–7 ATS in its last eight home games, including a disappointing 19–17 loss to the Buccaneers three weeks ago as seven-point betting favorites.