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Wimbledon 2016 men's seed report

Jon Wertheim breaks down the men's seeds at the 2016 French Open and makes his picks for winners, losers and dark horses of the tournament. 
Wimbledon 2016 men's seed report
Wimbledon 2016 men's seed report

SI.com's Jon Wertheim breaks down the men's seeds at Wimbledon 2016. Read on for the dark horses, top first-round matchups and predictions, and find the women's seed report here.

1 Novak Djokovic

Right now, he’s Google and everyone else is Bing. If he defends, bring on the Grand Golden Slam hype. Watch out for that Raonic quarterfinal.

2 Andy Murray

Unquestionably, he is the world’s No. 2 player right now. No shame in that. And he has, of course, won Wimbledon before. And he’s the local favorite, a status he’s learned to use to his advantage. And his starring role in the summer sequel “Me and Ivan Part II” ought to fire him with some energy. That said, it’s unclear if all this will matter much when Djokovic is on the opposing side of the net.

3 Roger Federer

The seven-time champ is admirably candid about planning his year so he peaks at Wimbledon. Well, it’s here. Looked a little rusty in the tune-ups, loosing to two Gen Nexters, Thiem and Zverev. But bet against him at your peril. For those with a thing for symbolism, the last time Wimbledon preceded the summer Olympics, Federer won. Then again, he was 30 at the time, not 34. On the plus side, his draw leaves little room for complaint.

4 Stan Wawrinka

Coming off a solid French Open, but it's been an uneven year and he has never been at his best on grass. Could reach his third straight quarterfinal but hard to see much after that.

5 Kei Nishikori

After that blazingly successful 2014 U.S. Open, Nishikori has been awfully quiet in majors. He takes a backseat to no player in the movement department; but his modest pop militates success on grass.

• The casual tennis fan’s guide to Wimbledon 2016

6 Milos Raonic

Realistically, Djokovic is your champion. But I would take Raonic as my next pick. Not because McEnroe is now in the camp. But because of the improved movement, the level-headed disposition and the serve that should require a permit to possess.

7 Richard Gasquet

The close-but-not-quite kid was a semifinalist last year but then barely offered resistance against Djokovic. This will sound too harsh by an order of magnitude but Gasquet is a lovely guy and beautiful player who might simply not have the constitution to win majors.

8 Dominic Thiem

The newest member of the Top 8 is fresh off a semifinal (demifinal) run in Paris. The poor kid has played a lot of tennis in 2016, but he keeps on winning…

9 Marin Cilic

The 2014 U.S. Open fades and fades. Has regressed to what he was before his lone Slam: a hard-hitting 10-15 guy whose game isn't quite at a level where he can beat the top five. Recalling Marat Safin, his lumbering movement tends to inhibit success on grass. Another quarterfinal run would mean a strong tournament.

10 Tomas Berdych

Lot of volatility in this market. A former Wimbledon finalist who can bang with the best of them. But has to prove he can win 21 sets in two weeks.

• How a sportsmanship lesson helped shape Federer's new fashion line

11 David Goffin

On the cusp of the Top 10, Goffin is like an upmarket Gilles Simon who wins with Occam’s Razor tennis. Lacks the power for big Wimbledon success but a player to watch.

12 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

Even at full health—which is seldom the case—there’s an unmistakable sense that, sadly, he’s deep into the back nine of his career.

13 David Ferrer

Sadly, at 34, he’s slowing down a bit, as evidenced by his expulsion from the Top 10. But we say it again: now’s a good time to credit him for his career. Tennis’ ultimate talent maximizer?

• Mailbag: We haven't seen the last of Maria Sharapova

14 Roberto Bautista Agut

A vexing opponent who’s better on grass than you might expect.

15 Nick Kyrgios

A few lapses notwithstanding, over the last 90 days, his tennis has overshadowed his antics. Game translates well to grass. He likes the big stage. His draw is hardly unreasonable. Week two a definite possibility.

16 Gilles Simon

After taking two sets off Djokovic in Australia, Simon has gone quiet. But he’s coming off a quarterfinal showing in 2015, his best ever.

TOP MOMENTS FROM WIMBLEDON 2015

Top 100 Photos from Wimbledon 2015

Lucie Safarova

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Tim Ireland/AP Photo

Madison Keys

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo

Roger Federer

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Toby Melville/Pool Photo via AP

Roger Federer

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Tim Ireland/AP Photo

Gael Monfils

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Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP Photo

Novak Djokovic

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Pavel Golovkin/AP Photo

Ricardas Berankis

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo

Dustin Brown

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Pavel Golovkin/AP Photo

Andy Murray and Amelie Mauresmo

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Tim Ireland/AP Photo

Richard Gasquet

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Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP Photo

Wimbledon

Grigor Dimitrov

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Pavel Golovkin/AP Photo

Serena Williams

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo

Serena Williams

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Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP Photo

Serena Williams

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Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP Photo

Petra Kvitova

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo

Aleksandra Krunic

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Tim Ireland/AP Photo

Novak Djokovic

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo

Novak Djokovic

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Andy Rain/Pool via AP

Sloane Stephens

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Pavel Golovkin/AP Photo

Novak Djokovic

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Alastair Grant/AP Photo
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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Maria Sharapova

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Sloane Stephens

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Pablo Andujar

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images
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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Andy Murray

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Leander Paes and Martina Hingis

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Liam Broady

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Maria Sharapova

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Kei Nishikori

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Grigor Dimitrov

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LEON NEAL/AFP/Getty Images

Donald Young

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JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP/Getty Images

Sloane Stephens

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Rafael Nadal

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Feliciano Lopez

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Caroline Wozniacki

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Jeremy Chardy

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Amelie Mauresmo

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Sabine Lisicki

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Serena Williams

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ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP/Getty Images

Venus Williams

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LEON NEAL/AFP/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Aleksandra Krunic

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Sania Mirza and Martina Hingis

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JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP/Getty Images
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Carl Court/Getty Images

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

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LEON NEAL/AFP/Getty Images

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge and Prince William, Duke of Cambridge

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Richard Gasquet

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Garbine Muguruza

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Serena Williams, Maria Sharapova

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Andy Murray

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Andy Murray

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Serena Williams

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Serena Williams, Garbine Muguruza

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Garbine Muguruza

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Kim and Andy Murray

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Martina Hingis and Sania Mirza

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Bethanie Mattek-Sands

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Yulia Putintseva

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

Andreas Seppi

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JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP/Getty Images

Anna Wintour

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Dustin Brown

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Carl Court/Getty Images

Dustin Brown

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Bernard Tomic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Novak Djokovic

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Heather Watson, Serena Williams

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Petra Kvitova

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LEON NEAL/AFP/Getty Images

Petra Kvitova

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LEON NEAL/AFP/Getty Images

Vasek Pospisil

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Jelena Jankovic

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Maria Sharapova

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

John Legend, Chrissy Teigen and Karlie Kloss

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

David Goffin

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Garbine Muguruza

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Timea Bacsinszky

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Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Kevin Anderson

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Lindsay Vonn

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

CoCo Vandeweghe

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Wimbledon

Serena Williams

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Serena Williams

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Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

Victoria Azarenka

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Ian Walton/Getty Images

Venus Williams and Drake

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Andy Murray

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Julian Finney/Getty Images

David Beckham and son, Romeo

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Karwai Tang/WireImage

Bradley Cooper and Mirka Federer

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Karwai Tang/WireImage
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Jon Wertheim
JON WERTHEIM

Jon Wertheim is a senior writer for Sports Illustrated and has been part of the full-time SI writing staff since 1997, largely focusing on the tennis beat, sports business and social issues, and enterprise journalism. In addition to his work at SI, he is a correspondent for “60 Minutes” and a commentator for The Tennis Channel. He has authored 11 books and has been honored with two Emmys, numerous writing and investigative journalism awards, and the Eugene Scott Award from the International Tennis Hall of Fame. Wertheim is a longtime member of the New York Bar Association (retired), the International Tennis Writers Association and the Writers Guild of America. He has a bachelor’s in history from Yale University and received a law degree from the University of Pennsylvania. He resides in New York City and Paris with his wife, who is a divorce mediator and adjunct law professor. They have two children.

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