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Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Friday, Feb. 6

Pelle Larsson and the Heat are road underdogs in Boston.
Pelle Larsson and the Heat are road underdogs in Boston.
Pelle Larsson and the Heat are road underdogs in Boston. | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

The Boston Celtics return home after sweeping their two-game Texas road trip. They’ve now won four games in a row and are looking to make it five against the Miami Heat on Friday night.

The Celtics are now 7-2 in their last nine games, while the Heat have alternated losses and wins since ending a road trip with two victories.

Boston could see trade deadline addition NIkola Vucevic make his Celtics debut tonight at home.

The Celtics already beat the Heat twice this season, 129-116 at home and 119-114 on the road.

The oddsmakers have the Celtics as home favorites at the best betting sites on Friday night.

Let’s take a look at the odds, players to watch and my prediction for Friday night’s NBA matchup.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

  • Heat +5.5 (-105)
  • Celtics -5.5 (-115)

Moneyline

  • Heat: +195
  • Celtics: -238

Total

  •  227.5 (Over -108/Under -112)

Heat vs. Celtics How to Watch

  • Date: Friday, Feb. 6
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. 
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • How to Watch (TV): FDSN SU, NBCSB
  • Heat record: 27-25
  • Celtics record: 33-18

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Reports

Heat Injury Report

  • Tyler Herro – out
  • Kasparas Jakucionis – available
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. – available
  • Nikola Jovic – available
  • Pelle Larsson – available
  • Davion Mitchell – available
  • Terry Rozier – out
  • Dru Smith – available
  • Andrew Wiggins – available

Celtics Injury Report

  • Josh Minott – out
  • Max Shulga – out
  • Jayson Tatum – out
  • Xavier Tillman – out
  • John Tonje – out

Heat vs. Celtics Best NBA Prop Bets

Heat Best NBA Prop Bet

Pelle Larsson takes on a bigger role in the Heat offense with Tyler Herro out. In his 31 games as a starter, he’s averaging 12.8 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game. 

The guard has been particularly impressive in his last nine games, averaging 15.0 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. He’s had at least 18 PRA in all but one of those games, and easily flew over this 17.5 number with 24 or more PRA in his last four contests.

The Celtics will be a tough test for Larsson and the Heat, but this number is low enough that I’m confident that he’ll be able to get there anyway.

Heat vs. Celtics Prediction and Pick

The Celtics are hot, and the Heat are not right now, and this -5.5 spread isn’t big enough for me to shy away from taking the home side.

Boston has a point differential of 443-365 during their four-game winning streak, and the Heat haven’t kept any of its recent losses within five points.

The C’s already beat the Heat twice this season, and I don’t see that changing tonight at TD Garden.

Pick: Celtics -5.5 (-115)


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Ryan Gilbert
RYAN GILBERT

Ryan is a sports betting writer at Sports Illustrated. He has experience working for NHL.com, NBC Sports, Covers, and more throughout his decade in the industry. As a Philadelphia native, he understands the passion and pain that come with being a sports fan.

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