Predicting best and worst scenarios for top fantasy baseball players

Monday March 16th, 2015

Whenever we talk about players and their projections, there’s a reason we say that you should pencil them in rather than etching them in stone. Every player, from Mike Trout all the way on down to Pete Kozma, has a range of possible outcomes. There will be players who surprise and fall outside that range, both on the good side and the bad, but for the most part, players end up landing somewhere within their parameters.

• Fantasy baseball 2015 draft kit: Everything you need to prep for your draft

As such, you should not think about exact numbers when building a fantasy team. Instead, you should consider each player’s range and the likelihood he ends up closer to the top of it or the bottom. Below, we present the best- and worst-case scenarios for the top 30 players in our Top 250 (and here's a printable version of our Top 250). 

1
1Mike Trout
 
WORST CASE:
2
2Andrew McCutchen
 
WORST CASE:
3
3Paul Goldschmidt
 
WORST CASE:
4
4Clayton Kershaw
 
WORST CASE:
5
5Giancarlo Stanton
 
WORST CASE:
6
6Jose Abreu
 
WORST CASE:
7
7Miguel Cabrera
 
WORST CASE:
8
8Carlos Gomez
 
WORST CASE:
9
9Anthony Rizzo
 
WORST CASE:
10
10Edwin Encarnacion
 
WORST CASE:
11
11Adam Jones
 
WORST CASE:
12
12Jose Bautista
 
WORST CASE:
13
13Anthony Rendon
 
WORST CASE:
14
14Robinson Cano
 
WORST CASE:
15
15Felix Hernandez
 
WORST CASE:
16
16Adrian Beltre
 
WORST CASE:
17
17Chris Sale
 
WORST CASE:
18
18Troy Tulowitzki
 
WORST CASE:
19
19Ian Desmond
 
WORST CASE:
20
20Jose Altuve
 
WORST CASE:
21
21Yasiel Puig
 
WORST CASE:
22
22Stephen Strasburg
 
WORST CASE:
23
23Josh Donaldson
 
WORST CASE: Donaldson’s 2014 carries over to 2015, and he hits no better than .265. The move to Toronto doesn’t take as well as it should, and he falls back to the in homers.
24
24Max Scherzer
 
WORST CASE:
25
25Michael Brantley
 
WORST CASE:
26
26Justin Upton
 
WORST CASE:
27
27Hanley Ramirez
 
WORST CASE:
28
28Bryce Harper
 
WORST CASE:
29
29Freddie Freeman
 
WORST CASE:
30
30Corey Dickerson
 
WORST CASE:
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