The Kansas City Chiefs won their second Super Bowl in 50 years last January. And if history means anything, it might be another 50 before they win another one. Or at least another year or two.
Former league MVP and reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes might have something to say about that, but seriously, history is not on his side with regards to a repeat performance.
There are 32 teams in the NFL. 12 teams have never won even one Super Bowl, while seven teams have repeated as Super Bowl Champions.
Yet since the final gun went off at Super Bowl LIV and the victorious Chiefs and defeated 49ers walked off the field, the Chiefs have seemed to be favorites to repeat, a march that starts Sunday in their AFC Playoffs meeting with the Browns.
The Steelers are the only team to repeat as Super Bowl champs twice, and the only team with four in six seasons. The Dallas Cowboys and Patriots are the only teams to win three Super Bowls in four consecutive seasons.
With the parity that the league touts, and with the Patriots falling off the face of the earth in 2020, the numbers seem to be in Kansas City’s favor. But hold on to your betting butts, there’s a bigger force in play here.
Not one team has repeated in the last 16 seasons, and it’s only been done twice in Patrick Mahomes’ lifetime. While repeats have happened eight times in the league’s history, let’s consider the number of times teams have made it back to the big game only to come up short at the final gun.
Great teams like the Cowboys (1979), Redskins (1984), Packers (1998), Seahawks (2015) and Patriots (2018) have made that repeat trip to the Championship Game and fallen at the end. Even more incriminating for the Chiefs' repeat chances, since 2000, only three teams that won the Super Bowl even appeared in the game the following year. Since 2010, it’s only happened twice.
If you’re a betting person, and you appreciate history and numbers, then you’ll appreciate what you just read as an indicator as to just how much of a long shot a repeat winner is. And yes, this is 2020-21, and nothing about this year or football season is normal
But it can also be said that the pandemic itself is yet another hurdle for the Chiefs to clear.
The pieces are all there for the Chiefs: Mahomes, Kelce, Hill, Mathieu. And they’re playing well, at least through the regular season ... but tell that to the 1979 Cowboys, 1984 Redskins, 1998 Packers, 2015 Seahawks and 2018 Patriots, who also looked great going into their respective playoffs.
Time tells all, and the record shows that it’s going to be tough for Kansas City to duplicate what they did in 2019 as they play for another title in 2020. Therefore, forget any "asterisk talk''; if the Chiefs repeat, it will be an historic feat. ... and a defeat of history.
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