Will the Lions dare pass up a potential franchise quarterback? Who'll make the move for Mark Sanchez? Here's how Peter King projected the first round in time for the Monday deadline of this week's Sports Illustrated, with his updates as of Friday morning noted:
1. Detroit LionsMatthew Stafford | Quarterback | Georgia
Wake Forest LB Aaron Curry is overpriced for this slot, and tackle isn't a huge need position for Detroit. The pick falls to a smart, precocious 21-year-old with an arm to die for.
2. St. Louis RamsJason Smith | Tackle | Baylor
The choice between Smith and fellow tackle Eugene Monroe goes down to the wire, and Smith wins the chance to succeed Orlando Pace because of his competitive zeal.
3. Kansas City ChiefsTyson Jackson | Defensive end | LSU
K.C. hopes it gets an offer to trade down with a team who wants QB Mark Sanchez. Failing that, the Chiefs will take Jackson, the best 3-4 DE in the draft but a reach this high.
*UPDATE*4. Seattle SeahawksMichael Crabtree | Wide receiver | Texas Tech
Originally, I had Sanchez here, but people I trust tell me it's down to Crabtree or Aaron Curry. The Seahawks' desire to get a field-stretching wideout to complement free-agent signee T.J. Houshmandzadeh wins out.
5. Cleveland BrownsAaron Curry | Linebacker | Wake Forest
DT B.J. Raji would allow Cleveland to move Shaun Rogers to DE full time. But Curry, who can play inside or outside LB, is a better sideline-to-sideline fit for Eric Mangini's 3-4.
6. Cincinnati BengalsB.J. Raji | Defensive tackle | Boston College
Cincinnati can line up Raji (6-2, 337) alongside free-agent pickup Tank Johnson on the inside of its 4-3, giving coach Marvin Lewis the run stoppers he's always wanted.
7. Oakland RaidersJeremy Maclin | Wide receiver | Missouri
Oakland will be tempted by the quality tackles still available here, but when in doubt, longball-loving Al Davis usually looks for speed at the wideout position.
*UPDATE*Jaguars trade pick to Redskins8. Washington RedskinsMark Sanchez | Quarterback | USC
Washington doesn't trust Jason Campbell and was disappointed not to get Jay Cutler, so it trades up to get its new franchise QB.
9. Green Bay PackersAndre Smith | Tackle | Alabama
Green Bay will jump on Crabtree if he falls, and Aaron Maybin's also a possibility, but with longtime starting tackle Chad Clifton turning 33 this year, Smith is a good fit here.
*UPDATE*10. San Francisco 49ersEugene Monroe | Tackle | Virginia
Originally, I had them taking Crabtree, but since he's off the board, tackle is a huge position of need for the 49ers, and they never would have dreamed Monroe would fall to them at 10.
11. Buffalo BillsAaron Maybin | Defensive end | Penn State
A junior, he has the most upside of any pass rusher in the draft, but with this proviso: He's strictly a speed rusher and will need to put on weight to be a complete NFL player.
12. Denver BroncosBrian Orakpo | Defensive end | Texas
On his visit to Denver he impressed Broncos brass with his NFL-ready body (a rock-solid 6-3, 263) and experience. Must play with more intensity on every snap.
*UPDATE*Redskins trade pick to Jaguars13. Jacksonville JaguarsMichael Oher | Tackle | Mississippi
The Jags get to fill a need they would have filled at 8 and get an extra pick to boot.
14. New Orleans SaintsMalcolm Jenkins | Cornerback | Ohio State
Despite a major need at RB, New Orleans won't be taking popular mock-draft pick Chris "Beanie" Wells here. Getting a physical corner for the sagging D is much more important.
15. Houston TexansBrian Cushing | Linebacker | USC
The first to go among the three Trojans 'backers considered first-round material. Cushing's versatility -- he can play all three linebacking spots -- is the difference.
16. San Diego ChargersKnowshon Moreno | Running back | Georgia
Tough call. San Diego has other needs and rates explosive UConn RB Donald Brown nearly as high. But Moreno satisfies the long-term need for an every-down back.
17. New York JetsConnor Barwin | LB-DE-TE | Cincinnati
When new coach Rex Ryan looks at Barwin, he sees the second coming of Adalius Thomas, the all-over-the-field OLB he had in his 3-4 defense in Baltimore.
18. Denver Broncos (from Bears)Peria Jerry | Defensive tackle | Mississippi
Denver continues to address its massive defensive needs with this middle-of-the-line slasher-and has three more picks between 48 and 84 to further restock.
19. Tampa Bay BuccaneersJosh Freeman | Quarterback | Kansas State
Bucs don't love a soul in this draft, not even at the top. Since they don't have a QB of the future, Freeman is a sensible pick. Some scouts see Ben Roethlisberger in him.
*UPDATE*20. Detroit Lions (from Cowboys)Robert Ayers | DE-LB | Tennessee
With my original SI pick Oher no longer available, the Lions pounce on Ayers, who is a perfectly suited end for new coach Jim Schwartz's scheme.
21. Philadelphia EaglesLeSean McCoy | Running back | Pitt
There are more accomplished backs in the draft, but coach Andy Reid loves how McCoy catches the ball out of the backfield. He'll provide relief for Brian Westbrook.
22. Minnesota Vikings Alex Mack | Center | Cal
Gritty blue-collar player is the perfect replacement for departed Pro Bowl center Matt Birk. Dark-horse possibility: monster (6-8) Oklahoma tackle Phil Loadholt.
23. New England PatriotsPercy Harvin | Wide receiver | Florida
One smart guy swears they're taking UConn CB Darius Butler. Maybe. But with four picks among the top 58, the Pats can afford a luxury like the dangerous Harvin.
*UPDATE*Falcons trade pick to Bills24. Buffalo BillsBrandon Pettigrew | Tight end | Oklahoma State
In the magazine mock, I had the Falcons keeping the pick and selecting Pettigrew. But Atlanta acquired future Hall of Fame tight end Tony Gonzalez on Thursday, thus the trade. The Bills hardly ever trade on draft day, but they love Pettigrew so much they considered him at 11.
25. Miami DolphinsClay Matthews | Linebacker | USC
The Bill Parcells-Jeff Ireland combination confounds those who had Miami taking a wideout. The club still has selections at Nos. 44 and 56 to fill that need.
26. Baltimore RavensRey Maualuga | Linebacker | USC
Baltimore could take CB Vontae Davis or a WR here -- but not local favorite Darrius Heyward-Bey. The temptation of having Rey someday succeed Ray (Lewis) is too great.
*UPDATE*27. Indianapolis ColtsDarrius Heyward-Bay | Wide receiver | Maryland
I hear the Colts like him more than my original pick, North Carolina wide receiver Hakeem Nicks.
*UPDATE*Bills trade pick to Falcons28. Atlanta FalconsEvander "Ziggy" Hood | DT | Missouri
Atlanta wanted a tight end and a front-seven factor coming out of draft weekend. They get both.
29. Cleveland Browns (from Giants)Alphonso Smith | Cornerback | Wake Forest
Cleveland acquires this pick and a fourth-rounder from the WR-needy Giants in exchange for Braylon Edwards. Smith might be the best cover guy in the draft.
30. Tennessee TitansMax Unger | Center | Oregon
Tennessee needs receivers but can fill that need later as good wideouts drop to the second round. Unger can be phased in to replace aging Kevin Mawae.
31. Arizona Cardinals Donald Brown | Running back | UConn
Picking this workhorse ballcarrier and pass protector will allow Arizona to let the aging Edgerrin James ride off into the sunset somewhere else.
32. Pittsburgh SteelersVontae Davis | Cornerback | Illinois
Good, safe long-range pick that fills the hole created by Bryant McFadden's departure. Davis is the kind of physical corner Pittsburgh has craved over the years.