BANKS: Eric Decker, WR, Jets. As if you couldn’t see this one coming. Predictable, sure, but going from Peyton Manning to Geno Smith at quarterback is going to severely hurt a guy’s statistics, and Decker’s 87-catch, 1,288-yard, 11-touchdown season of a year ago will be a distant memory come December. But his bank account doesn’t mind.
BISHOP: Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks. By the numbers:
901 -- Lynch’s carry count the past three seasons
28 -- his age
2 -- capable backups and rotation mates in Robert Turbin and Christine Michael
1 -- week of training camp missed due to a contract holdout
BURKE: Cam Newton, QB, Panthers. The negatives are piling up in Carolina and the season has not even begun: huge questions marks on the O-line, uninspiring receiving corps and now a fractured rib for Newton, who already needed offseason ankle surgery. Replicating 2013 will be next to impossible for Newton.
EAGLE: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals. Fitzgerald remains the face of the Cardinals offense, but at 31, his best years appear to be behind him. And with third-year wideout Michael Floyd seemingly on the verge of a breakout season, Fitzgerald may not even finish the year as the best wide receiver in Arizona. Countless teams would still kill to have Fitzgerald in the fold, but at this point in his career, he’s more of a top-notch WR2 than legit No. 1 weapon.
FARRAR: Eric Decker, WR, Jets. This is a pretty obvious one, but let's spell it out: Going from Peyton Manning to whatever the Jets will be doing with Geno Smith and Michael Vick this year is a tumble down an elevator shaft from an opportunity perspective. Decker, who caught 172 passes for 2,352 yards and 24 touchdowns in the last two seasons alone, will find it hard to come anywhere near those totals over the life of his five-year, $36.25 million deal with the Jets. It's great for him that he got paid, but now, things get tough.
MURPHY: Greg Hardy, DE, Panthers. Hardy had 15 sacks in 2013 and 11 the year before. Nagging preseason injuries, however, coupled with a November jury trial -- Hardy is appealing a domestic violence conviction -- suggest he’ll be slowed and distracted.
NIESEN: Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs. I don’t think the Chiefs are going to be nearly as good this year, and Charles is going to take a beating -- not that he didn’t last year, but it adds up.