Bears vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 14

The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers are set to throw down in a pivotal NFC North duel. The surprisingly good Bears are currently the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but if they lose to the Packers on Sunday, they'll not only fall out of the top spot in the conference, but the Packers will take the lead in the division.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this marquee matchup in Week 14.

Bears vs. Packers Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

Bears +6.5 (-110)
Packers -6.5 (-110)

Moneyline

Bears +245
Packers -300

Total

OVER 44.5 (-114)
UNDER 44.5 (-106)

Bears vs. Packers How to Watch

Date: Sunday, December 7
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
How to Watch (TV): FOX
Bears Record: 9-3
Packers Record: 8-3-1

Bears vs. Packers Betting Trends

Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games
Packers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. Bears
Bears are 1-11 straight up in their last 12 games vs. Packers
Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
The UNDER is 5-1 in the Packers' last six home games

Bears vs. Packers Injury Reports

Bears Injury Report

Tyrique Stevenson, CB - Questionable
Noah Sewell, LB - Questionable
Dominique Robinson, DE - Questionable
Ruben Hyppolite II, LB - Questionable
T.J. Edwards, LB - Questionable

Packers Injury Report

Savion Williams, WR - Questionable
Quay Walker, LB - Questionable
Nate Hobbs, CB - Questionable
Matthew Golden, WR - Questionable
Karl Brooks, DE - Questionable

Bears vs. Packers Key Player to Watch

Caleb Williams, QB - Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams has played well this season, throwing for 2,722 yards, 17 touchdowns, and only five interceptions. He's done a much better job this season, avoiding sacks and taking off with his legs when he needs to. He hasn't been elite, but he hasn't lost games for the Bears either. Can he take a step forward in his development in the final stretch of the season?

Bears vs. Packers Prediction and Pick

In this week's edition of the Road to 272 Bets, I wrote about why the Bears are my upset pick of the week:

It's time to start believing in the Chicago Bears. Despite the metrics showing they aren't nearly as good as their record, they find ways to win games. Whether it's against an inferior or superior opponent, they'll squeak out a win via strong play by their offensive line, winning the turnover battle, and taking advantage of late-game opportunities.

The Packers have been the complete opposite of that this season. Their underlying metrics are elite, but they've let moments and games slip through their grasp more than once. The Packers' defense ranks outside the top 10 in opponent rush success rate, while the Bears are first in offensive rush success rate. That could be the difference-maker, and it's enough for me to back the Bears as my upset pick of the week.

Pick: Bears +245 via FanDuel

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