Painting Corners: Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Predictions for Jesus Luzardo, Jose Berrios, and Robbie Ray)

Iain MacMillan | May 13, 2025

The bet the UNDER on 1.5 earned runs allowed for Jose Berrios against the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night. / Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

All 30 MLB teams are in action on Tuesday night as teams either continue or begin their mid-week series. If you're looking for some prop bets for tonight's slate of games, you've come to the right place, especially if you're looking for some plus-money plays.

I'm getting aggressive with my player props for tonight, with all three wagers with plus-money odds. Let's dive into them.

Best MLB Props Today

• Jesus Luzardo 3+ Walks Allowed (+160) via DraftKings
• Jose Berrios UNDER 1.5 Earned Runs (+130) via DraftKings
• Robbie Ray UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+138) via FanDuel

Cardinals vs. Phillies Prop Bet

No team has drawn more walks this season against left-handed pitchers than the St. Louis Cardinals, walking on 11.5% of their plate appearances against lefties. Tonight, they face a lefty in Jesus Luzardo, who has already allowed three walks in one of his starts this season and has a walk rate of 2.5 walks per nine innings pitched. Let's see if we can cash in on him walking at least three batters tonight as a big plus-money play.

Pick: Jesus Luzardo 3+ Walks Allowed (+160)

Rays vs. Blue Jays Prop Bet

Jose Berrios has put together a strong 2025 so far, sporting a 3.86 ERA through his first eight starts. Tonight, he gets to face the coldest lineup in the Majors. Over the past 14 days, the Rays have an OPS of .573 and a batting average of .213. Those two metrics rank 30th and 28th in the Majors in that time frame. He also had a 3.24 ERA in three starts against the Rays in 2024.

At plus-moeny, I think betting on Berrios to allow fewer than two runs is another strong play tonight.

Pick: Jose Berrios UNDER 1.5 Earned Runs (+130)

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prop Bet

The Arizona Diamondbacks have the lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers this season, striking out on just 16.7% of their plate appearances. That's 1.0% better than the next best team. Tonight, they'll face Robbie Ray of the Giants, who has gone over this number in three straight starts, but now he has a tough matchup in front of him in the Diamondbacks. I'll take a shot on the UNDER on this play at plus-money.

Pick: Robbie Ray UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+138)

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You can check out all of Iain's bets here!