College Football Upset Pick for Army-Navy (Can the Black Knights Avenge Last Year's Loss?)

Army is an underdog against Navy on Saturday.
Army is an underdog against Navy on Saturday. / Danny Wild-Imagn Images

The College Football Playoff will begin next weekend, which means we only have two games to watch and bet on this week. The L.A. Bowl between Boise State and Washington will take place on Saturday night, but the marquee matchup of the day is the annual Army-Navy game.

Navy leads the all-time series 63-55-7, but Army has gone 6-3 in the last nine editions of the game. This year, the Army Black Knights are underdogs to Navy at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

Army may be an underdog this time around, but I think the Black Knights are live to pull off the upset.

Army vs. Navy Prediction

Army +195 vs. Navy via BetMGM Sportsbook

Navy is a more complete team, better suited to take on more dynamic college football teams, which is why they went 9-2 this season. With that being said, I think Army can win in a battle between two service academy teams that do little but run the football right at you. As we all know by now, these two teams rank inside the top three in run play percentage, but Army has arguably been the one to defend the run better.

The Black Knights rank 45th in opponent rush EPA, while the Midshipmen rank 61st. This game is going to be a lot closer than the spread suggests, so I'm going to take a shot on Army to pull off the upset.


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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.