Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFC Championship Game

Iain MacMillan | Jan 21, 2025

The Eagles are 6-point favorites to the Commanders in the NFC Championship. / Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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An NFC East rubber match is on tap for this Sunday's NFC Championship with a berth in Super Bowl 59 on the line.

The Washington Commanders find themselves as underdogs for the third straight playoff game. They've been one of the best stories of the NFL season, being in the midst of one of the greatest single-season turnarounds in league history thanks to a historic rookie performance by Jayden Daniels.

They went 1-1 in the regular season against their divisional rival, the Eagles, who are trying to return to the Super Bowl for the second time in three years.

Let's dive into everything you need to know to bet on Sunday's big game and then I'll break down my best bet.

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

Commanders +6.5 (-120)
Eagles -6.5 (-102)

Moneyline

Commanders +235
Eagles -290

Total

OVER 47.5 (-115)
UNDER 47.5 (-105)

Commanders vs. Eagles How to Watch

Date: Sunday, January 26
Time: 3:00 p.m. EST
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
How to Watch (TV): FOX
Commanders record: 12-5
Eagles record: 14-3

Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Trends

Commanders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games
The OVER is 13-7 in the Commanders' last 20 games
Eagles are 12-4 straight up in their last 16 games vs. Commanders
Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
Eagles have won nine straight home games
Eagles went 5-1 ATS against the NFC East this season

Commanders vs. Eagles Injury Reports

Commanders Injury Report

Sam Cosmi, G - Out
Jordan Magee, LB - IR
Haggai Ndubuisi, DT - Out
Tyler Owens, S - IR
Kazmeir Allen, RB - Out

Eagles Injury Report

Quinyon Mitchell, CB - Questionable
Byron Young, DT - IR-R
Nakobe Dean, LB - IR
Jack Driscoll, OT - IR
C.J. Uzomah, TE - IR

Commanders vs. Eagles Key Players to Watch

Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels: There's no argument to be made about who the key player to watch is for the Washington Commanders. Jayden Daniels is in the midst of the best season by a rookie quarterback in league history and now has a chance to be the first rookie QB to start in a Super Bowl. He has elevated his game even further in the playoffs, completing 69.7% of passes for 283.5 passing yards per game along with four touchdowns and zero interceptions.

Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley: Jalen Hurts is banged-up and the Eagles' passing game has struggled at times this season which means Philadelphia's best chance to is continue to ride Saquon Barkley, who has averaged a blistering 162.0 rushing yards in their first two playoff games. If he continues to put up those types of performances, it's going to be hard for Washington to win this game.

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction and Pick

In this week's edition of the "Road to Super Bowl 59", I broke down why I'm taking the points with the Commanders:

If you were to break down this bet from a pure analytics standpoint, there are plenty of reasons to like the Eagles. They far outrank the Commanders in Net Yards per Play and virtually every single defensive statistic you can find. I'm sure you'll hear all week about how the Commanders have struggled to stop the run and the Eagles will be able to power through them on the ground.

In most cases, I would be laying the points with the Eagles but at this point I simply can't look past Jayden Daniels and the Commanders' offense. Daniels has been the best rookie quarterback in the history of the sport and may now be the best quarterback in the NFC. His ability to use his legs to his advantage while also remaining calm in the pocket is something I rarely see from a player at his position.

The Commanders also seem to have the Chiefs-esque factor of having things go their way in big moments and never shooting themselves in the foot, something the Eagles have done continuously this season including last week against the Rams.

The Commanders may not win this game. Their defensive issues may prove too much to pull off another upset. With that being said, I can't envision this being a blowout in favor of Philadelphia. I'll take the points with the 'dog.

Pick: Commanders +6.5 (-120)