Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 15

The Miami Dolphins are still alive in the hunt for a postseason berth. They'll likely need to win their four remaining games and hope the Ravens, Chargers, or Broncos go 1-3 in their last three games but if those happen, the Dolphins may find themselves in the playoffs.

Their next step is to upset the Houston Texans, who are currently leading the AFC South at 8-5. The Texans will be fresh off their BYE week and are trying to find some momentum in the final stretch of the season.

Let's dive into it.

Dolphins vs. Texans Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

Dolphins +3 (-115)
Texans -3 (-105)

Moneyline

Dolphins +120
Texans -142

Total

47.5 (Over -108/Under -112)

Dolphins vs. Texans Betting Trends

Dolphins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games
The OVER is 5-2 in the Dolphins' last seven games
The UNDER is 6-1 in the Dolphins' last seven road games
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. AFC South opponents
The UNDER is 8-4 in the Texans' last 12 games
Texans have won five straight home games vs. Dolphins
Texans are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games played in December

Dolphins vs. Texans Injury Reports

Dolphins Injury Report

Raheem Mostert, RB - Questionable
Dee Eskridge, WR - Out
Anthony Walker Jr., LB - Questionable

Texans Injury Report

Jalen Pitre, S - Questionable
Xavier Hutchinson, WR - Questionable
Folorunso Fatukasi, DT - Questionable

Dolphins vs. Texans Key Players to Watch

Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa: The Dolphins quarterback has been fantastic since returning to the lineup, sporting a quarterback rating of 107.4 while completing 73.8% of passes. As long as he stays healthy and the Dolphins keep winning, they're going to have a shot to sneak into the playoffs.

Houston Texans

Joe Mixon: The Texans are at their best when their running game is firing on all cylinders and Joe Mixon plays a big role in that, averaging 4.3 yards on the carry and scoring 11 touchdowns on the ground.

Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction and Pick

In this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets," I broke down why the Dolphins are my upset pick of the week:

The Texans are in little danger of missing out on the playoffs, but there are a ton of red flags surrounding this team entering the final stretch of the season. To say C.J. Stroud has regressed this year may be an understatement. He ranks 28th amongst all quarterbacks in EPA+CPOE composite, two spots below Daniel Jones and just one spot above Caleb Williams. As a whole, their offense is 22nd in EPA per play and 30th in success rate.

Now, they host a Dolphins offense that continues to be elite as long as they're not being asked to play in cold weather conditions. Let's remember the Dolphins are technically still alive in the playoff race but will need to win out and get some help from other teams. There's no question in my opinion they have the far superior offense in this game so I'll ride them as underdogs in this AFC showdown.

Pick: Dolphins +120

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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