Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Saturday, Feb. 28

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The West Coast Conference regular season title comes down to the final game of the season on Saturday night when the Gonzaga Bulldogs hit the road to take on the Saint Mary's Gaels.
If Gonzaga wins, they'll claim sole possession of the regular season title. If St. Mary's wins, the Gaels will tie Gonzaga for the best record in the conference, therefore sharing the regular season title.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this late-night matchup.
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread
- Gonzaga -2.5 (-102)
- Saint Mary's +2.5 (-120)
Moneyline
- Gonzaga -137
- Saint Mary's +114
Total
- OVER 143.5 (-115)
- UNDER 143.5 (-105)
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, February 28
- Game Time: 10:30 pm ET
- Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion
- How to Watch (TV): ESPN
- Gonzaga Record: 28-2 (16-1 in WCC)
- Saint Mary's Record: 26-4 (15-2 in WCC)
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's Betting Trends
- Gonzaga is 5-1 ATS in its last six games
- The UNDER is 5-1 in Gonzaga's last six games
- Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as the favorite
- Saint Mary's is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games
- The UNDER is 8-3 in Saint Mary's last 11 games
- Saint Mary's is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's Key Player to Watch
- Graham Ike, F - Gonzaga Bulldogs
Graham Ike is one of the most dominant forwards in college basketball, averaging 19.8 points and 8.4 rebounds per game, both of which are good for the best marks on this Bulldogs team. He scored 30 points in Gonzaga's 73-65 win against Saint Mary's earlier this season, so the Gaels will have to try to find a way to shut him down in the rematch.
Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's Prediction and Pick
Instead of betting on a side in this game, I think we're going to see a defensive battle on Saturday night. The two teams playing in this game are truly two of the best defensive teams in the country. The Gonzaga Bulldogs lead all teams in college basketball in defensive efficiency, and the Gaels aren't far behind, coming in at 18th in that metric.
Not only that, but both teams are specifically good at defending the interior, which is also where both offenses keep the majority of their shots. The Gaels actually outrank the Bulldogs in this area, coming in at 21st in opponent two-point field goal percentage, while Gonzaga ranks 30th in that area.
Saint Mary's also ranks 282nd in adjusted tempo, which leads me to believe they'll slow the pace down and keep it to a low-scoring affair.
There were 138 points scored in the first meeting between these two teams, so let's bet on it being a similar combined score on Saturday night.
Pick: UNDER 143.5 (-105)
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Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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