Kings vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, Feb. 13

For the third time in the last week, the New Orleans Pelicans and Sacramento Kings will go head-to-head on Thursday.

Sacramento has won each of the first three meetings between these teams this season by two, five and eight points. On Wednesday, Sacramento picked up an eight-point road win despite 33 points from Zion Williamson for the Pelicans.

Oddsmakers have changed up the odds for the second night of this back-to-back, as the Kings are now favored by three more points on Thursday. That’s a sign that oddsmakers expect Williams or others to sit for the 12-win Pelicans tonight.

Sacramento has won three games to get over .500, and it holds the No. 9 seed in the West ahead of the All-Star break. Can the Kings get a win and cover the spread as road favorites tonight?

Here’s a breakdown of the odds, players to watch in the prop market and my prediction for Thursday’s action.

Kings vs. Pelicans Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

Kings -8 (-108)
Pelicans +8 (-112)

Moneyline

Kings: -325
Pelicans: +260

Total

235.5 (Over -112/Under -108)

Kings vs. Pelicans How to Watch

Date: Thursday, Feb. 13
Time: 8:00 p.m. EST
Venue: Smoothie King Center
How to Watch (TV): NBC Sports California, Bally Sports New Orleans
Kings record: 28-26
Pelicans record: 12-42

Kings vs. Pelicans Injury Reports

Kings Injury Report

Devin Carter – out
Isaiah Crawford – out

Pelicans Injury Report

Brandon Boston – out
Keion Brooks Jr. – out
Zion Williamson – out
Jamal Cain – out
Kelly Olynyk – out
Dejounte Murray – out
Herb Jones – out

Kings vs. Pelicans Best NBA Prop Bets

Sacramento Kings Best NBA Prop Bet

Domantas Sabonis OVER 14.5 Rebounds (-105)

Domantas Sabonis has been dominant on the glass this season, leading the league with 14.3 boards per game, and he’s in a great spot to surpass his season average on Thursday night.

Sabonis has 15 or more boards in three straight games (two against New Orleans), and the Pelicans are just 28th in the NBA in rebounding percentage. Even though Sabonis is playing the second night of a back-to-back, he actually had a pretty low minutes total (33:23) for his standards last night.

New Orleans Pelicans Best NBA Prop Bet

Trey Murphy III OVER 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+124)

I’m going to take a swing on Trey Murphy III on Thursday with Zion Williamson potentially sitting out the second night of a back-to-back.

Murphy has arguably been the Pelicans’ best player this season, and he’s cleared 3.5 3-pointers made in four of his last seven games, shooting 53.4 percent from 3 over that stretch.

Even though he made just one 3-ball last night, Murphy has a favorable matchup against this Kings team, which ranks 27th in the NBA in opponent 3-pointers made per game this season.

Kings vs. Pelicans Prediction and Pick

Sacramento’s playoff push is in full swing, and I really like it to cover the spread on the road here – even though it’s well under .500 against the spread as a road favorite this season.

New Orleans has lost 10 consecutive games, falling to dead last in the Western Conference in the process.

After losing by eight to the Kings on Wednesday, the Pelicans likely won’t have Williamson – who has led the way scoring the ball in each of his last two games against Kings – on the second night of a back-to-back.

New Orleans is just 9-9-1 against the spread as a home underdog, and it ranks last in the NBA in net rating and defensive rating over its last 10 games. I simply cannot trust a team with those metrics as just an 8.5-point dog.

Pick: Kings -8.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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