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Michigan State vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for Tuesday, Jan. 20

Michigan State is a road favorite against Oregon on Tuesday night.
Michigan State is a road favorite against Oregon on Tuesday night. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Michigan State Spartans and Oregon Ducks will face each other on Tuesday night in a game between one team that has won four straight games and the other that has lost four straight games.

The Spartans have won all four of their most recent games by double-digit points, and they are once again set as double-digit favorites tonight. Let's take a look at the odds and my best bet for Tuesday night's Big Ten showdown.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

Spread

  • Michigan State -10.5 (-115)
  • Oregon +10.5 (-105)

Moneyline

  • Michigan State -650
  • Oregon +475

Total

  • OVER 137.5 (-105)
  • UNDER 137.5 (-115)

Michigan State vs. Oregon How to Watch

  • Date: Tuesday, January 20
  • Game Time: 9:00 pm ET
  • Venue: Matthew Knight Arena
  • How to Watch (TV): FS1
  • Michigan State Record: 16-2 (6-1 in Big Ten)
  • Oregon Record: 8-10 (1-6 in Big Ten)

Michigan State vs. Oregon Betting Trends

  • The UNDER is 5-0 in Michigan State's last five games
  • Michigan State is 14-2 straight up in its last 16 games vs. Oregon
  • Oregon is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
  • Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games

Michigan State vs. Oregon Key Player to Watch

  • Jaxson Kohler, F - Michigan State Spartans

Jaxson Kohler is averaging close to a double-double per game at 13.9 points and 9.9 rebounds. He's shooting 54.4% from the field and is averaging only 1.6 turnovers per game. He is playing at an extremely efficient level, which is the perfect example of Michigan State basketball. He struggled against Washington, scoring just seven points, so let's see if he bounces back tonight.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Prediction and Pick

The type of team that can beat Michigan State is one that can shoot the lights out and overpower the Spartans with its offense. Unfortunately, Oregon doesn't have that ability, ranking just 208th in college basketball in effective field goal percentage at 50.5%.

Oregon's defensive numbers are even worse, ranking 191st in defensive efficiency, far below Michigan State, which comes in at 11th in the country in that metric.

What might be the worst sign for Oregon is that the Ducks rank 259th in turnovers per possession, coughing it up on 18% of their possessions. If they turn the ball over at that high a rate and then also struggle with their shooting when they don't turn it over, it's going to be a long night for the Ducks.

Pick: Michigan State -10.5 (-115) via BetMGM


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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.

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