Pacers vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, March 17

The Minnesota Timberwolves are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, as they won their eight straight game on Sunday, blowing out the Utah Jazz.

Now, the Wolves have the Indiana Pacers coming to town for the second night of a back-to-back. However, the Pacers are going to be down Pascal Siakam (out, personal reason), and have listed starters Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton and Aaron Nesmith as questionable.

As a result, Anthony Edwards and the Wolves are favored by a pretty wide margin at home, a spot where they are just 10-19 against the spread this season (when favored).

Can the Timberwolves knock off Indiana and pick up a ninth straight win?

Let’s dive into the odds, best player props for this matchup and my prediction.

Pacers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

Pacers +7.5 (-108)
Timberwolves -7.5 (-112)

Moneyline

Pacers: +275
Timberwolves: -345

Total

229 (Over -108/Under -112)

Pacers vs. Timberwolves How to Watch

Date: Monday, March 17
Time: 8:00 p.m. EST
Venue: Target Center
How to Watch (TV): FanDuel Sports Network (Local), NBA League Pass
Pacers record: 37-29
Timberwolves record: 40-29

Pacers vs. Timberwolves Injury Reports

Pacers Injury Report

RayJ Dennis – probable
Enrique Freeman – probable
Johnny Furphy – questionable
Tyrese Haliburton – questionable
Isaiah Jackson – out
Quenton Jackson – probable
Pascal Siakam – out
Aaron Nesmith – questionable
Myles Turner – questionable

Timberwolves Injury Report

Not submitted yet

Pacers vs. Timberwolves Best NBA Prop Bets

Indiana Pacers Best NBA Prop Bet

Tyrese Haliburton OVER 9.5 Assists (-125)

The Timberwolves are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, but Tyrese Haliburton’s passing is reaching 2023-24 season levels as of late. He’s picked up 10 or more dimes in nine straight games, pushing his season average to 9.0 per night.

With Pascal Siakam out, the entire Indiana offense will likely run through Haliburton – if he’s able to go. I love getting him at this number on Monday night.

Minnesota Timberwolves Best NBA Prop Bet

Donte DiVincenzo OVER 11.5 Points (-115)

Earlier today, I shared in my NBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why Donte DiVincenzo is a great prop target in this game:

Minnesota Timberwolves guard Donte DiVincenzo has really turned a corner shooting the ball this season, as he’s hitting 49.0 percent of his field goals and 48.1 percent of his 3-point shots since returning from a toe injury.

DiVincenzo has cleared 11.5 points in seven of 10 games since the injury, averaging 14.0 points on 10.2 shots per game during that stretch.

I love him against a fast-paced Indiana Pacers team tonight, especially since he’s scored nine or more points in all of these games, giving him a solid floor when it comes to this market. DiVincenzo started on Sunday for veteran Mike Conley (who was out for rest), but he should return to his high-volume bench role if Conley can go tonight.

Pacers vs. Timberwolves Prediction and Pick

With so many players up in the air for Indiana, I’m going to back this red hot Minnesota team that is second in the NBA in net rating over its last 10 games.

The Pacers have struggled a bit on the road this season (17-19 straight up), and they’re going to be in need of an offensive boost without Siakam against one of the best defenses in the NBA. On top of that, the Wolves significantly outrank the Pacers in offensive rating (No. 3 vs. No. 15) over each of these team’s last 10 games.

In addition to that, the Wolves are the No. 6 defense in the league during this stretch.

Since Julius Randle returned to the lineup, the Wolves have not lost a game, and I expect that to continue tonight. Even though the Wolves have struggled as home favorites, they are an impressive 7-5 against the spread on the second night of a back-to-back.

With Minnesota aiming to land a top-six seed in the West – and in play for more than that – I expect it to play everyone in this game against a banged-up Pacers squad. The Wolves can cover the number on Monday night.

Pick: Timberwolves -7.5 (-112 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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