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Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Thursday, May 14

Jesus Luzardo and the Phillies are slight road favorites against the Red Sox.
Jesus Luzardo and the Phillies are slight road favorites against the Red Sox.
Jesus Luzardo and the Phillies are slight road favorites against the Red Sox. | Rhona Wise-Imagn Images

The Boston Red Sox host the Philadelphia Phillies in the rubber match of their three-game set on Thursday night.

It’s been a low-scoring series thus far, with the Phillies winning 2-1 on Tuesday night and the Red Sox getting a 3-1 victory last night.

That could continue tonight with Ranger Suarez set to face off against his old team, and fellow southpaw Jesus Luzardo on the mound for Philadelphia.

Here are the odds, probable pitchers, and predictions for Phillies vs. Red Sox on Thursday, May 14.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Run Line

  • Phillies -1.5 (+153)
  • Red Sox +1.5 (-186)

Moneyline

  • Phillies -112
  • Red Sox -108

Total

  • 7.0 (Over -120/Under -101)

Phillies vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

  • Phillies: Jesus Luzardo (3-3, 5.98 ERA)
  • Red Sox: Ranger Suarez (2-2, 2.77 ERA)

Jesus Luzardo is looking to get back on track after a rough start against the Rockies last time out. He allowed six runs (five earned) in just three innings of work. This came after allowing just two runs in 13.1 innings across his previous two starts.

Ranger Suarez has been fantastic in most of his starts recently. Outside of a four-run outing against the Yankees on April 22, he’s allowed no runs on nine hits in 26 innings across his last four starts.

Phillies vs. Red Sox How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, May 14
  • Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • How to Watch (TV): NBCSP, NESN
  • Phillies record: 20-23
  • Red Sox record: 18-24

Phillies vs. Red Sox Best MLB Prop Bets

Phillies Best MLB Prop Bet

  • Jesus Luzardo OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (-151)

Jesus Luzardo may have only lasted three innings last time out, but he still racked up six strikeouts against the Rockies. This came after getting 10 strikeouts against the Marlins and 8 against the Giants.

Luzardo has found his strikeout stuff this season, and that’s bad news for the Red Sox. Boston has struck out 24.6% of the time in the last 30 days, which is toward the bottom of the league.

Given how Boston has been hitting recently, I expect Luzardo to pile up the punchouts at Fenway Park.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction and Pick

The oddsmakers have adjusted this total down to a flat 7.0, but I still think I’m going to take the UNDER.

Neither team can generate much offense right now, and these pitchers have been solid recently – especially Suarez.

The only potential fly in the ointment is Luzardo losing it again, but I’ll take that risk given the Red Sox’ recent games.

Pick: UNDER 7 (-101)


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Published | Modified
Ryan Gilbert
RYAN GILBERT

Ryan is a sports betting writer at Sports Illustrated. He has experience working for NHL.com, NBC Sports, Covers, and more throughout his decade in the industry. As a Philadelphia native, he understands the passion and pain that come with being a sports fan.

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