Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, Feb. 5

It’s officially the Cooper Flagg era in Dallas, as the Mavericks traded away Anthony Davis on Wednesday afternoon for a package of players and picks from the Washington Wizards.

The move signals the end of what was a terrible Luka Doncic trade, but it also points the Mavs in a clear direction: Building around Flagg.

That may mean losing a few more games this season to get a top pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, and the Mavs find themselves as a home underdogs against the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday night.

The Spurs are in the mix for a top seed in the Western Conference, and they’re coming off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder (who did not have the injured Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or more of their rotation players) on Wednesday night.

Can they take down a Dallas team that has lost five in a row?

Let’s dive into the latest odds, my favorite player prop target and a prediction for this Western Conference clash.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

Spurs -6.5 (-115)
Mavs +6.5 (-105)

Moneyline

Spurs: -270
Mavs: +220

Total

228.5 (Over -108/Under -112)

Spurs vs. Mavericks How to Watch

Date: Thursday, Feb. 5
Time: 8:30 p.m. EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
How to Watch (TV): FanDuel Sports Network (Local)
Spurs record: 34-16
Mavs record: 19-31

Spurs vs. Mavericks Injury Reports

Spurs Injury Report

Not submitted yet

Mavs Injury Report

Moussa Cisse – probable
Anthony Davis – out
Kyrie Irving – out
Jaden Hardey – out
Dante Exum – out
Daniel Gafford – questionable
Miles Kelly – probable
Ryan Nembhard – probable
Dereck Lively II – out
P.J. Washington – out
D’Angelo Russell – out
Brandon Williams – questionable

Spurs vs. Mavericks Best NBA Prop Bets

Spurs Best NBA Prop Bet

Victor Wembanyama 11+ Rebounds (-143)

One of my favorite props for the day – which I shared in today’s best NBA props for SI Betting – is for Wemby to reach his season average in boards against this Dallas frontcourt:

I'm going to bet on Wemby to hit his season average (11.1 rebounds per game) on the board in this matchup against a Dallas team that is 28th in opponent rebounds per game and 18th in rebound percentage.

The Mavericks have a makeshift frontcourt at the moment with Anthony Davis being traded to Washington and Dereck Lively II out for the season. Daniel Gafford (ankle) is also questionable for this matchup.

Wemby has picked up 11 or more boards in four of his last six games, grabbing at least 14 rebounds in every game that he's cleared this number. He also had 15 boards in less than 30 minutes in his lone meeting with Dallas this season.

After he played less than 30 minutes on Wednesday, I expect Wembanyama to have a pretty sizable role in this matchup as the Spurs aim to win their third game in a row.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction and Pick

The Spurs have not been great as road favorites (4-7-1 against the spread) this season, but I’m buying them against this short-handed Dallas team on Thursday.

Dallas is down a ton of rotation players in this matchup, and it’s coming off a fifth straight loss on Tuesday against Boston where it failed to cover as a home underdog.

The Mavs are now under .500 at home, and they are in a full-on tank mode after moving on from Davis on Wednesday.

The Spurs are sixth in the league in net rating and significantly outranks the Mavs across the board in offense, defense and effective field goal percentage this season. Dallas’ losing streak should continue tonight.

Pick: Spurs -6.5 (-115 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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