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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday, March 5

Betting odds, pick and prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder-Memphis Grizzlies matchup on Wednesday, March 5.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a great prop target on Wednesday.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a great prop target on Wednesday. | Daniel Dunn-Imagn Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder are looking to extend their winning streak to five games on Wednesday night when they take on the Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis has fallen in the standings in the Western Conference during a three-game losing streak, and it hasn’t had Ja Morant in either of the last two games due to a shoulder injury.

The star guard is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s matchup. Plus, All-Star forward Jaren Jackson Jr. is week-to-week with an ankle injury that he suffered on Monday. 

OKC has won both of the meetings between these teams by double digits, including a 13-point win back on Feb. 8. While Memphis has been one of the best home teams in the NBA this season, can it end the winning streak of the top team in the West?

Here’s a full breakdown of the odds, players to watch in the prop market and my prediction for Wednesday’s contest. 

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

  • Thunder -8 (-110)
  • Grizzlies +8 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Thunder: -325
  • Grizzlies: +260

Total

  • 250 (Over -110/Under -110)

Thunder vs. Grizzlies How to Watch

  • Date: Wednesday, March 5
  • Time: 9:30 p.m. EST
  • Venue: FedExForum
  • How to Watch (TV):
  • Thunder record: 50-11
  • Grizzlies record: 38-23

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Injury Reports

Thunder Injury Report

  • Branden Carlson – out
  • Alex Ducas – out
  • Alex Caruso – out
  • Isaiah Hartenstein – available
  • Isaiah Joe – questionable
  • Dillon Jones – out
  • Ajay Mitchell – out
  • Nikola Topic – out

Grizzlies Injury Report

  • Santi Aldama – questionable
  • Ja Morant – questionable
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. – questionable
  • Jay Huff – out
  • John Konchar – questionable
  • Yuki Kawamura – out
  • Cam Spencer – out
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. – out
  • Zyon Pullin – out

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Best NBA Prop Bets

Note at the time of this writing, props had not been released for this matchup. Instead, these picks are suggestions based on recent player performance. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER Points

Fresh off of a 51-point game, Shai is taking on a Memphis team that is 28th in defensive rating over its last 10 games, down Jaren Jackson Jr. and plays at the fastest pace in the NBA. With the total up at 250, SGA could be in for a huge game on Wednesday. 

Memphis Grizzlies Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Zach Edey OVER Rebounds

The Thunder are 25th in the NBA in opponent rebounds per game this season, and Edey may see the floor more when Isaiah Hartenstein is also out there. Plus, the injury to JJJ leaves the Grizzlies a little thin in the frontcourt. Edey is averaging 8.8 rebounds per game since the start of February.. 

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction and Pick

Memphis is an impressive 22-9 straight up at home this season, but I’m seriously worried about the Grizzlies with Defensive Player of the Year candidate Jaren Jackson Jr. out of the lineup. 

Not only that, but there’s a chance that Morant could miss this game as well, which would really limit the Grizzlies’ offensive ceiling against OKC.

While Memphis has thrived at playing in transition, that may not be successful against the NBA’s No. 1 defense – especially with the Grizzlies banged up. On top of that, Memphis has slipped all the way to 28th in the NBA in defensive rating over its last 10 games.

That’s only going to get worse without JJJ, and the Thunder have been impressive as road favorites, going 15-11-2 against the spread.

I’ll gladly lay the points with the West’s best team tonight.  

Pick: Thunder -8 (-110 at DraftKings)


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on  BetStamp here.


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Published
Peter Dewey
PETER DEWEY

Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.

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