VCU vs. Dayton Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Friday, March 6

The VCU Rams still have a chance of earning a share of the Atlantic-10 regular season title. If they can beat the Dayton Flyers on Friday, they'll have to hope for a George Mason upset over Saint Louis on Saturday. If that happens, VCU and Saint Louis will share the conference title.

Meanwhile, Dayton is doing its best to lock in the No. 3 spot in the Atlantic-10, and a win against VCU would prevent them from falling below Saint Joseph's.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this pivotal conference showdown on Friday night.

VCU vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

VCU +1.5 (-120)
Dayton -1.5 (-102)

Moneyline

VCU -106
Dayton -113

Total

OVER 150.5 (-105)
UNDER 150.5 (-115)

VCU vs. Dayton How to Watch

Date: Friday, March 6
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
Venue: UD Arena
How to Watch (TV): ESPN2
VCU Record: 23-7 (14-3 in A-10)
Dayton Record: 21-9 (12-5 in A-10)

VCU vs. Dayton Betting Trends

The UNDER is 8-4 in VCU's last 12 games
VCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. Dayton
The UNDER is 5-0 in VCU's last five road games
Dayton is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games

VCU vs. Dayton Key Player to Watch

Jadrian Tracey, G - VCU Rams

Jadrian Tracey isn't VCU's best scorer, averaging just 10.2 points per game, which is third on the team, but he torched Dayton in the first meeting between these two squads, putting up 26 points on 9-of-12 shooting, while adding in three rebounds and two assists. If the Rams can get another performance like that from him tonight, Dayton is going to be in trouble.

VCU vs. Dayton Prediction and Pick

I'm not convinced that Dayton is as good as the betting market is treating them. The Flyers are just 134th in the country in effective field goal percentage at 52.4%. That's well below the Rams, who come in at 64th in that metric at 54.2%.

It's also worth noting that VCU has a stylistic advantage in this game. The Rams are primarily a three-point shooting team, and now they get to face a Dayton defense that allows teams to shoot 36.1% from beyond the arc, which ranks 296th in college basketball.

I'll back the Rams to complete the regular season sweep of the Flyers.

Pick: VCU -106

Create a new FanDuel Sportsbook account, and you can get $100 in bonus bets if you win your first $5 wager. Download the FanDuel app and deposit a minimum of $5 to claim your FanDuel promo code offer today.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!