Villanova vs. St. John’s Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Saturday, Feb. 28

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The St. John's Red Storm played their worst game of the season this week, losing 72-40 to the UConn Huskies to lose their top spot in the conference. The good news is, the race for the regular-season title isn't over quite yet, but St. John's will likely need to win out to have a chance.
That starts on Saturday with an intriguing matchup against third-place Villanova, a team that can still steal the No. 2 spot in the conference from the Red Storm.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this pivotal Big East showdown.
Villanova vs. St. John's Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread
- Villanova +7.5 (-120)
- St. John's -7.5 (-102)
Moneyline
- Villanova +255
- St. John's -320
Total
- OVER 145.5 (-110)
- UNDER 145.5 (-110)
Villanova vs. St. John's How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, February 28
- Game Time: 8:00 pm ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
- How to Watch (TV): FOX
- Villanova Record: 22-6 (13-4 in Big East)
- St. John's Record: 22-6 (15-2 in Big East)
Villanova vs. St. John's Betting Trends
- Villanova is 1-4 ATS in its last five games
- The OVER is 5-1 in Villanova's last six games
- The UNDER is 4-1 in St. John's last five games
- St. John's is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games as the favorite
Villanova vs. St. John's Key Player to Watch
- Bryce Lindsay, G - Villanova Wildcats
Villanova's best chance of upsetting St. John's is to get the three-ball going, which is why Bryce Lindsay is going to be their most important player in this game. He leads the Wildcats in three-point attempts with 186, hitting them at a rate of 35.5%. If he can get hot from three, Villanova is going to bring this game down to the wire.
Villanova vs. St. John's Prediction and Pick
Instead of betting on either team to cover, I'm going to sit back and root for the OVER in this game.
Both offenses do what the opposing defenses don't defend well. Villanova is a three-point shooting team, and St. John's ranks 90th in opponent three-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to shoot 32.4% from beyond the arc. St. John's is a two-point shooting team, and Villanova ranks 170th in opponent two-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to shoot 51.5% from two-point range.
St. John's ranks 64th in the country in adjusted tempo, so I'm hoping they can push the pace in this game, helping the total go OVER.
Pick: OVER 145.5 (-110) via FanDuel
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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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