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Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Friday, March 28

The Warriors are double-digit favorites against the Pelicans on Friday night.
The Warriors are double-digit favorites against the Pelicans on Friday night. | Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

The New Orleans Pelicans are in a race to the bottom of the NBA as they strengthen their case in the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes, and tonight they'll host the Golden State Warriors, who are desperately trying to fight their way out of having to play in the play-in tournament.

Let's take a look at the odds and my best bets for this Western Conference showdown.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

Spread

  • Warriors -15.5 (-110)
  • Pelicans +15.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Warriors -1400
  • Pelicans +800

Total

  • 225.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Warriors vs. Pelicans How to Watch

  • Date: Friday, March 28
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center
  • How to Watch (TV): GCSEN
  • Warriors record: 41-31
  • Pelicans record: 20-53

Warriors vs. Pelicans Injury Reports

Warriors Injury Report

  • Steph Curry, PG - Game Time Decision
  • Gary Payton II, SG - Out

Pelicans Injury Report

  • Brandon Boston, SG - Out
  • CJ McCollum, SG - Out
  • Zion Williamson, PF - Out
  • Trey Murphy III, SG - Out for Season
  • Herbert Jones, SF - Out for Season

Warriors vs. Pelicans Best Prop Bet

  • Jonathan Kuminga OVER 16.5 (-110) via BetMGM

The Pelicans' interior defense has struggled this season. They have allowed teams to shoot 57.6% from two-point range, the second-worst mark in the NBA. To try to take advantage of that, I'm going to target Jonathan Kuminga, the Warriors' power forward, to go over his point total.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction and Pick

The Pelicans have thrown the white flag on the season, proven by their long list of players on the injury report, including Zion Williamson. There's no reason why the Warriors can't win and cover tonight.

Any time Golden State plays a bad defense, I lean towards backing the Warriors to cover the spread. Their offense has the firepower to demolish a porous defense, and that's what New Orleans has, ranking 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.

The Warriors also do a great job of creating extra scoring chances through forcing turnovers and grabbing offensive boards, averaging +3.4 per game. That's going to go a long way in covering the spread tonight.

Pick: Warriors -15.5 (-110) via BetMGM


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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.

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