Mailbag: Carpenter-Cain debate, the hitting myths of Carlos Pena
Five months ago this would have been a landslide in favor of the younger, healthy Cain, but now you have to go with Carpenter even with all the health concerns, don't you? Let's compare the two in a variety of categories.
Pretty much identical there.
Carpenter surges ahead here thanks in no small part to his substantial ability to throw strikes with a sterling BB/9 mark of 1.31 compared to Cain's 3.25 mark.
There is also history to consider, on both sides.
The negative with Carpenter is that he has been injured off and on for years. When he is healthy, as he is now, there are few who are better. However, you can't simply forget that he made just five appearances the past two seasons.
As for Cain, he is still young at just 24 years old, and is well on his way to a fourth straight season of 190-innings. Regardless, his success this season is has been surprising given that the majority of his numbers, other than his ERA and record, are nearly identical to his career work.
What that means is that Cain can rightly be said to be have been lucky this season. How lucky? Though his line drive rate is 18.2 percent, just below his 18.6 career mark, his BABUP has dipped .019 points to .258. In addition, his left on base percentage is almost 87 percent as of this writing, this after three years of marks between 69.8 and 75.3 percent.
Bottom line is that when right, this really isn't a viable matchup as Carpenter is clearly the better hurler. Cain is young and has not a whiff of injury history to be concerned with; but in my mind you keep talent, and Carpenter has that category locked up.
So what is the issue with Pena? It's that batting average which is currently at a
I was worried about Jackson myself so I checked into his work earlier this week in
As for his performance, it has been spectacular. Just look at a comparison of his work this season versus his career prior to this point.
That isn't just a little improvement, that is massive improvement for the Tigers' hurler. In fact, a bit too much for my taste. When you add in the innings concerns, the fact that he is throwing a lot of pitches, and the fact that over his last five starts he has a 3.90 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and a 1.64 K/BB mark, I think it would be wise to expect Jackson to fail to live up to his early season success. I'm not predicting a meltdown, but I would be shocked if he didn't finish with an ERA over 3.00 and a WHIP over 1.20 by the time the season is complete.
You aren't alone, Ryan.
Snell was awful in Pittsburgh going 2-8 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his 15 starts before he was banished to the minors to find himself, and oh did things click. Snell had that 17 K effort and thoroughly dominated Triple-A batter to the tune of a 0.96 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, an 11.33 K/9 mark and a 3.62 K/BB mark. Obviously, hopes were extremely high after that work, and the move to the Mariners also seemed to signal both a fresh start and the chance to pitch for a team that plays its home games at a yard that favors pitching.
Snell looked strong in his first start against the Rangers, in Texas mind you, allowed just two runs over six innings sending everyone scurrying to the waiver-wire. Alas, Mr. Hyde appeared the past two outings as Snell was bombed while at the same time being completely unable to locate the strike zone. Hide the women and children before you read on: in 7.1 innings he allowed 11 hits, 11 runs and walked nine batters. Ghastly. As a result, he has been
Well Johnny, I can't really answer that question without knowing more details about your team and league, but I'll still offer a few thoughts.
Feliz has been amazing in his limited work recording outs via the strikeout 65% of the time in his 6.2 innings. As amazing, he hasn't walked a single batter in his 6.2 inning while allowing just one hit. Of course, when your "changeup" is 90 mph, yes his changeup, and your fastball comes in at 99 mph, you can understand why hitters who have never seen him before are doing a lot of swing and missing.
Can he make a difference the rest of the way? Let's play a game of what if. The Rangers have 49 games left. Let's say that over that time that Feliz throws 25 innings. We can't posit that he will continue along the lines he has flashed to start his career, but let's say he posts a 3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 12.0 K/9 the rest of the way. Well that ERA and WHIP are akin to the work that