Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns— Thursday, November 14 at 8:20 p.m. EST
Moneyline: CLE: (-150) | PIT: (+130)
Spread: CLE: -3 (+100) | PIT: +3 (EVEN)
Total: 41.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: 41.5 (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: CLE: 38% | PIT: 62%
The sharps were so close to getting the best of the sportsbooks last week. But the Chargers, up four, couldn’t prevent the Raiders from punching in the game-winning touchdown in the final minute. They will look to get off the schneid tonight in a Thursday night AFC North showdown. The line on tonight’s contest has wavered between Cleveland laying -2.5 points with added juice and a full field goal (-3). According to the “Whispers” out in Vegas, the sharps are expecting a low-scoring affair and are wagering on under the total of 41.5 points. The Steelers, who are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, are playing at an elite level defensively since acquiring CB Minkah Fitzpatrick. The trade has transformed Pittsburgh (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS), who will be looking to extend its four-game winning streak. Cleveland (3-6 SU, 2-6 ATS) will be looking for its second straight home win after last week’s 19-16 victory over Buffalo, while also looking to earn its first ATS cash in their six games. Cleveland will be looking for its first win against the Steelers since 2014.
Fantasy owners will be facing tough matchups for several star players on both sides of the ball Thursday night. With a plethora of elite fantasy running backs on bye in Week 11, Cleveland backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will both undeniably find their way into starting lineups. However, they will be facing a Steelers defense that has not allowed an opposing running back to top 89 yards on the ground, while only allowing four rushing touchdowns in nine games. Pro Bowl wideout Odell Beckham Jr, who has posted double-digit PPR fantasy points in four straight games, has only one receiving touchdown on the year and will likely draw former Browns shutdown CB Joe Haden. Slot wideout Jarvis Landry, who had been a fantasy disappointment in the beginning of the year, has made the most of his 33 targets over the past three games, posting 53.9 PPR fantasy points.
From a Pittsburgh perspective, just how healthy is James Conner? Does he get the bulk of the carries or does he pull a “David Johnson” and suit up only to relinquish the bulk of the work to backup RB Jaylen Samuels? That’s a tough call for fantasy owners. Star WR JuJu Smith-Schuster has underperformed this season following the loss of QB Ben Roethlisberger, posting less than seven PPR fantasy points in three of his last four games. The Steelers D/ST has the third-most sacks (33), the second-most interceptions (14) and have scored defensively in three of its last four games. That unit is a top-five option against Baker Mayfield, who has been sacked 25 times and accounted for 15 turnovers in just nine games.
The Play: Under 41.5 Points
Season Record: 0-4
- Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
- Pittsburgh has won eight straight in the series against the Browns
- Cleveland is 21-44-2 ATS in its last 67 games overall
- Cleveland is 9-23-1 ATS in its last 33 home games at FirstEnergy Stadium
- The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings played in Cleveland
- The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these AFC North rivals
- The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the clubs
- The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings
- Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five against Cleveland