How Many Games Will the Chicago Bears Win this Season?

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The Chicago Bears are in the process of making a quarterback change. They seem poised to move on from former No. 2 overall pick Mitchell Trubisky after trading for Nick Foles, restructuring his deal and declining Trubisky’s fifth-year option. Meanwhile, they lost a couple key pieces on defense in Nick Kwiatkoski and Prince Amukamara, but added cornerback Jaylon Johnson and receiving threat Cole Kmet in the early rounds of the 2020 NFL Draft.

Where does their win total stand after the Foles trade and the draft? William Hill lists Chicago’s over/under at 8.5 wins with -150 juice on the under.

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BearDigest reporter Gene Chamberlain is a bit more optimistic about the message the Bears are sending Trubisky, writing:

“The Bears haven't so much shown Trubisky the door as much as they've opened it and then reminded him how open it really is—not that he needed the reminder.”

The entire focus of the media, and even the team in some aspects, will be on the preseason quarterback battle. That’s fair, but overall this is a solid team with an elite defense. There are plenty of playmakers on offense as well. Allen Robinson is a star, Anthony Miller is incredibly underrated and David Montgomery is poised to shine in his sophomore campaign. However, if this truly is Foles’ team I can’t see Chicago finishing above .500. Even with the -150 juice, I’d take the under.

Stats to Know

  • The Bears’ RBs gained only 3.69 yards per carry (29th in the NFL) while scoring six rushing touchdowns (27th).
  • Chicago finished last in the league in passing yards per attempt (6.18).
  • Their RBs gained only 5.97 yards per catch (7.91 was the league average in 2019), but they did catch 111 of their 147 targets (75.5 percent catch rate).
  • Allen Robinson was the only shining star on offense. He set a career-high in catches (98), targets (154), and catch rate (63.6) while gaining over 1,000 yards for the second time in his career.
  • The Bears ranked fifth in the NFL in passing yards per attempt (6.65).