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Jacksonville Jaguars

Projected record: 4–12

There’s a great deal of excitement around the Jaguars because of their active free agency and with Tom Coughlin back in the building as executive VP, overseeing all football matters. But the Jaguars’ problem is at quarterback—Blake Bortles didn’t get better in Year 3 and no one in Jacksonville, including Bortles, is sugarcoating it. I’m not going to fall for the trap that this is Jacksonville’s year

Pivotal game: Week 6 vs. Rams. The NFL spared us from seeing the Jaguars in primetime this season, but the team still has to go overseas to face the Ravens in Week 3. That kicks off three games outside of Jacksonville (even if it’s technically a “home” game) before the Jags return home to face the Rams. Nine of the Jaguars’ past 11 wins over three seasons have come at home.