Horseshoe Huddle

Which Colts are Worth a 1st-Round Pick in Trade?

How many Indianapolis Colts would fetch a first-round draft pick in a trade?
Which Colts are Worth a 1st-Round Pick in Trade?
Which Colts are Worth a 1st-Round Pick in Trade?

In this story:


The Indianapolis Colts are in the process of rebuilding their roster. They drafted their quarterback of the future, plus an additional 11 players in April

However, Bill Barnwell completed a herculean task on ESPN+ of trying to figure how many players in the NFL would fetch a first-round pick (or more) in a trade.

He took into account talent, age, position, and contract status when formulating his list.

His answer was 102. 

What happens next for the Colts? Don't miss out on any news and analysis! Take a second and sign up for our free newsletter and get breaking Colts news delivered to your inbox daily!

Surprisingly, just one of those was a member of the Indianapolis Colts... Anthony Richardson. He figured in a vacuum, Richardson would be worth a first-round pick and change.

"His season sadly appears to be over before it really began because of an injury to his throwing shoulder, but there was enough in his brief spell under center to excite Colts fans," wrote Barnwell on ESPN+

"He made an immediate impact as a runner and was good enough as a passer to sustain a solid offense from Day 1. I don't think anyone doubts Richardson possesses massive upside because of his physical ability, but we saw that he can even be a functional quarterback while he's figuring things out at the pro level."

Frankly, Barnwell may be selling Richardson short. If Richardson was on the open market, he'd likely fetch two-first-round picks and change.

Barnwell also considered offensive lineman Quentin Nelson and linebacker Shaq Leonard.

"G Quenton Nelson was originally a player I thought would return a first-round pick, but as I thought more about his situation, I wasn't able to get there," wrote Barnwell. "He's now one of the league's highest-paid guards, playing a position that some teams simply don't value at that level, thinking they can coax solid play out of cheaper options with the right offensive line coach."

"LB Shaquille Leonard is in a similar boat. Off-ball (inside) linebackers on top-of-the-market contracts don't typically have significant trade value, and he has dealt with concussions and back surgery over the past few seasons."

It's not surprise that Jonathan Taylor and his contract wouldn't fetch a first-round pick. If that was the case, he probably wouldn't be a member of the Colts right now. Running backs on second contracts don't hold the same trade value as other positions.

Michael Pittman probably should have been a candidate worthy of mention. He certainly has first-round pick talent, but he'll be a free agent at the end of the season

Would a team send a first-round pick in October for a player they could have as a free agent in February? Maybe. 

Defensive tackle DeForest Buckner is worth a shout as well. He's a Pro Bowl-caliber defensive tackle on the right side of 30. His base salary next season of $20.25 million might be a stumbling block, but he should still be in the conversation.

Offensive tackle Bernhard Raimann is the No. 10 tackle in the NFL according to Pro Football Focus (PFF). He's on his rookie deal and will cost just over $3 million... combined... over the next two-plus seasons. 

Cheap, talented, premium position... check, check, and check.

Fans tend to overvalue the players on their own teams. Barnwell wrote about 13,000 words explaining each of his selections and non-selections. He showed just how few players are actually worth a first-round pick in a trade.

However, in this case, we think he's overlooked a couple of viable contenders on the Colts including Buckner and Raimann.

Follow Horseshoe Huddle on Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube


Published
Chad Jensen
CHAD JENSEN

Chad Jensen is the Publisher of Horseshoe Huddle, the Founder of Mile High Huddle and creator of the wildly popular Huddle Up Podcast. Chad has been on the NFL beat since 2012. 

Share on XFollow ChadNJensen