Packers Have Strong History of Draft Double-Dipping

GREEN BAY, Wis. – That the Green Bay Packers drafted three receivers this year was anything but a surprise. It was their biggest need, obviously, after trading Davante Adams and losing Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown in free agency.

Moreover, over the past decade, the Packers had frequently double- or even triple-dipped in the draft.

In 2012, then-general manager Ted Thompson traded up for defensive tackle Jerel Worthy in the second round and used a fourth-round compensatory selection on Mike Daniels.

In 2013, Thompson moved back in the second round and landed burly running back Eddie Lacy, then moved up in the fourth round for Johnathan Franklin.

In 2015, Thompson used his first two picks on cornerbacks Damarious Randall and Quenten Rollins.

In 2016, Thompson bolstered his defensive line by selecting Kenny Clark in the first round and grabbing Dean Lowry with a fourth-round compensatory pick.

In 2017, after Ty Montgomery successfully moved from receiver to running back to replace the injured Lacy, Thompson selected Jamaal Williams in the fourth round and Aaron Jones with a fifth-round compensatory pick. (He also selected beefy Devante Mays in the seventh.)

In 2018, Brian Gutekunst’s first draft as GM, the Packers traded back and then up to grab cornerback Jaire Alexander in the first round. He doubled down with Josh Jackson in the second. Later, at receiver, he used a fourth-round pick on J’Mon Moore, a fifth-round pick on Valdes-Scantling and a sixth-round choice on St. Brown.

In 2020, Gutekunst used three sixth-round picks on offensive linemen Jon Runyan, Jake Hanson and Simon Stepaniak.

In 2021, Gutekunst drafted three more offensive linemen: center Josh Myers in the second round, guard Royce Newman in the fourth round and guard/tackle Cole Van Lanen in the sixth round.

In 2022, not only did Gutekunst draft three receivers but he drafted three offensive linemen again with Sean Rhyan in the third round, Zach Tom in the fourth round and Rasheed Walker in the seventh. Plus, with the defensive line short on numbers, he selected Devonte Wyatt in the first round and Jonathan Ford in the seventh.

Picking multiple players at one position is a smart way to address a weakness on the roster. The only time the Packers missed on both players of a double-dip was 2015 with Randall and Rollins. Not only is there strength in numbers but there are no guarantees in the draft. That was evident in 2012, when Thompson targeted Worthy, who was a flop, but hit a home run with Daniels 81 picks later.

Other times, the double-dip is just the way it worked out, as Thompson would have said. In 2014, the Packers selected Adams in the second round. In the seventh round, Jeff Janis’ combination of size and speed was too great to pass up. Similarly, in 2022, the Packers weren’t necessarily looking for another lineman when they picked Wallace.

“We didn’t really see Rasheed falling where he did,” Gutekunst said. “After a while, we just thought it was too good to pass up.”

This year at receiver, Christian Watson was obviously a player the Packers targeted. Gutekunst wouldn’t have shipped two second-round picks to a division rival had he thought otherwise. Clearly, they expect him to become their next great second-round receiver.

Adding Romeo Doubs in the fourth round and Samori Toure in the seventh round gives off some Williams-Jones and Moore-MVS-St. Brown vibes. The Packers are really high on Doubs, and his strong start to the offseason practices has only bolstered the enthusiasm. But Day 3 is a crapshoot. As it turned out, Williams was good but Jones was great, and Valdes-Scantling was infinitely better than Moore.

“I think we’ve certainly added some competition,” Gutekunst said of drafting three receivers. “I think that was really important. Not the only position we added a lot of competition, but I think we’re certainly very much of belief that competition’s going to bring out the best and the cream’s going to rise, and that’s something that we needed to do and I think we accomplished that.”

This year, Gutekunst used eight draft picks on three positions. If Wyatt and Watson are as good as the Packers are projecting, and one of the blockers and another of the receivers pan out, then the 2022 draft will be a hit.

Six Reasons Why Packers Will Win Super Bowl

And six reasons why they will fall short yet again.

1. Aaron Rodgers, Obviously

You can’t argue with the NFL’s business model. The game has grown increasingly slanted toward the quarterbacks. The result is NFL games dominating the Nielsen Ratings and defenses begging for mercy. Yes, Joe Flacco and Nick Foles have won Super Bowls the past decade, but the last four championships have been won by the Rams’ Matthew Stafford, the Buccaneers’ Tom Brady, the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes and the Patriots’ Brady.

With a great quarterback, anything is possible. Teams with mediocre quarterbacks hope to win. Teams with great quarterbacks expect to win. Rodgers gives the Packers instant credibility. The four-time MVP, including the two-time reigning MVP, gives Green Bay a chance every week because he makes so many big plays (No. 1 in touchdown percentage the last two seasons) and makes so few big mistakes (No. 1 in interception percentage the last four seasons).

Of course, Rodgers needs to be better in the playoffs. His performance in the playoff debacle against San Francisco serves as a black mark on his legacy. But he’s one of the best in NFL history and you know he’ll enter this season with something to prove given the state of the receiver corps.

2. AJ-Squared

Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon give the Packers one of the best one-two punches in the NFL. Jones is an explosive runner and big-time receiving threat. Dillon is a punishing runner and surprising receiving threat. Combined, they rushed for 1,602 rushing yards, caught 86 passes and scored 17 touchdowns last season.

Will Rodgers be challenged to convert a high percentage of his third-and-longs given the unsettled state of his receiver corps? Perhaps. Fortunately for Rodgers, Jones and Dillon will provide a lot of third-and-shorts.

3. Potentially Dominant Offensive Line

After his 2021 season was ruined by a torn ACL, the hope is left tackle David Bakhtiari will be back in the lineup and primed to return to his five-time All-Pro form. Similarly, the hope is Elgton Jenkins will return from his torn ACL at some point at midseason and regain his 2020 Pro Bowl form.

If that’s the case, this stretch-run line could be fantastic: Bakhtiari at left tackle, Jon Runyan at left guard, Josh Myers at center, Royce Newman at right guard and Jenkins at right tackle. (Or, Bakhtiari at left tackle, some combination of Jenkins, Runyan, Myers and Newman at the interior spots, and Yosh Nijman at right tackle.)

To be sure, there are questions. Those start with but aren’t limited to Bakhtiari and his short- and long-term future. Myers missed most of his rookie season with a knee injury and remains a bit of an unknown. And, whether it’s their ability to push for a starting job or even make the gameday roster, who knows about draft picks Sean Rhyan, Zach Tom and Rasheed Walker. But Green Bay’s combination of starters and backups has the potential to be excellent.

4. Potentially Fearsome Defensive Line

The Rams won the Super Bowl with Aaron Donald dominating the line of scrimmage at an all-time level. A year earlier, the Buccaneers lined up with Ndamukong Suh and Vita Vea at defensive tackle.

Run or pass, a disruptive defensive line can blow up offensive game plans. The Packers had one disruptor with Pro Bowler Kenny Clark. With the additions of veteran Jarran Reed and first-round pick Devonte Wyatt, Green Bay has a potentially formidable five-man rotation of Clark, Dean Lowry, Reed, Wyatt and TJ Slaton.

Last season, Green Bay ranked 30th with 4.70 yards allowed per carry. It would be a surprise if that number isn’t cut significantly with the potential power of the defensive line partnering with inside linebackers De’Vondre Campbell and Quay Walker.

5. No-Fly Zone Secondary

A better run defense will play right into the hands of where Green Bay’s defense should be legitimately elite.

A good defense is fortunate to have one really good cornerback. The Packers should have three with Jaire Alexander, Rasul Douglas and Eric Stokes.

Alexander was a second-team All-Pro in 2020, when he ranked No. 1 among corners with a 42.3 percent completion rate and 4.7 yards allowed per target, according to Sports Info Solutions. Added off Arizona’s practice squad after Alexander suffered a major shoulder injury, Douglas ranked third with a 44.6 percent completion rate and fifth with 5.2 yards allowed per target. The team’s first-round pick last year, Stokes ranked sixth with a 46.2 percent completion rate and eighth with 5.3 yards allowed per target.

A good run defense, a strong pass rush (Preston Smith, Rashan Gary, Clark and perhaps Wyatt) and an elite trio of corners could add up to the type of defense that is a real problem for every offense in the NFL.

6. Something Special (Or At Least Not Terrible)

The bar has been set impossibly low for Green Bay’s special teams.

Just don’t colossally screw up.

In the playoff loss to San Francisco, Marcedes Lewis’ fumble sapped the team of all its momentum, Rodgers didn’t play well after a hot start and the decision to move Billy Turner to left tackle and stick with Dennis Kelly at right tackle backfired. Still, they probably would have beaten the 49ers if not for a blocked field goal just before halftime and the killer blocked punt in the final minutes.

With the hiring of Rich Bisaccia, Green Bay has a proven coordinator. The additions of punter Pat O’Donnell, cornerback Keisean Nixon and safety Tariq Carpenter signal a larger emphasis on special teams as part of personnel decisions. Green Bay not only will be better on special teams – granted, it would be impossible to be worse – but it could actually become an asset.

Related Story: Six Reasons Why Packers Won't Win Super Bowl

The Packers once again will field a championship-caliber roster. Starting with uncertainty at receiver, there are several reasons why they will be locked out of the Super Bowl for a 12th consecutive season.

Aaron Rodgers. Matt LaFleur. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. What could be a really good defense. Those are all reasons why the #Packers will win the Super Bowl.

Here are six reasons why they won't.

(The pawsitive version of this will come this afternoon.)https://t.co/UVhzISj2Dr
— Bill Huber (@BillHuberNFL) June 3, 2022

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