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NFL Week 11 Betting Recap: Bad Beats and Big Payouts

Backing Jonathan Taylor and the Packers-Vikings game proved profitable, while the biggest favorites and the Chiefs-Cowboys game underwhelmed.

It's Jonathan Taylor's world and we're all just living in it.

Taylor is making the case to be the MVP, and we hope you had some prop bets or parlays involving the second-year superstar or the Colts (+7).

We can't be so kind about the Bills and Titans, who flopped as heavy home favorites. Home teams and big favorites burned bettors Sunday with poor showings.

Let's get to it: The good, the bad and the ugly from Week 11 betting.

Check the Odds for Giants-Buccaneers MNF



Taylor-Made Bets

Backing Taylor is a wise strategy.

He went Rambo on the Bills yesterday, totaling 204 yards (185 rushing) and five touchdowns in the Colts' 41-15 beatdown of the Bills.

Taylor is one of those players whose props you should be smashing each week, no matter the line, and yesterday's lines proved especially tempting since the Bills' defense has been good. Here are some of the props Taylor cashed yesterday:

• First touchdown: +600
• Anytime touchdown: -138
Over 76.5 rushing yards
Over 105.5 combined yards
• Over 17.5 yards longest rush

Pretty, pretty, pretty good.

Barely Made It

It's always scary when you have to sweat out a prop bet, but it's a sigh of relief when it cashes on the player's final touch.

Christian McCaffrey only cleared his 117.5 combined yards prop on his final touch: an 8-yard catch on Carolina's final play that gave him 119 yards for the day.

Dalvin Cook made it two straight weeks in which he cleared his rushing prop on his final touch of the game. Cook's 12-yard scamper that set up Minnesota's game-winning field goal gave him 86 rushing yards, topping his projection of 83.5.

Purple Rain Of Points

Let's hit a little more on that fantastic and profitable Packers-Vikings tilt featuring plenty of haymakers and great players making great plays.

While one player will be saved for the ugly section—although he didn't have a bad overall game—the others certainly won you some money.

Look at this beauty:

• Aaron Rodgers: Over 266.5 passing yards, 2.5 touchdown passes, 274.5 total yards
• Kirk Cousins: Over 267.5 passing yards, 1.5 touchdown passes, 23.5 completions
• Justin Jefferson: Anytime touchdown (+115), over 74.5 receiving yards
• Adam Thielen: Anytime touchdown (+130), over 58.5 receiving yards
• Dalvin Cook: Anytime TD (-150), First touchdown (+520), over 83.5 rushing yards
• Davante Adams: Anytime TD (-150), over 92.5 receiving yards

As you can surely guess, both the over and total touchdowns over both hit.

He Scored?

It's always fun to go through the boxscores and find the random payouts.

If you somehow bet Lil'Jordan Humphrey to score an anytime touchdown yesterday, you received a handsome payout at +1700 odds.

Bettors received nearly the same payout if they wagered on Zach Ertz (+1450) having the first touchdown in Cardinals-Seahawks, and his anytime prop cashed at +275.

Tennessee's Dez Fitzpatrick also scored, rewarding those who backed his anytime touchdown prop odds at +950.

Home, Sweet Home

The Chiefs finally did it.

They covered at home.

It may not have been pretty, but the Chiefs (-2.5) are now 1-5 ATS at home after their 19-9 victory over the Cowboys.

Don't look now, but the Chiefs have now covered in two straight games after starting the year 2-7. Perhaps bettors can start trusting them after the bye.

Betting His Strength, Fading His Weakness

The Eagles have adapted to Jalen Hurts by playing to his strength (rushing the ball) and minimizing his weakness (throwing the ball).

Bettors who did the same profited Sunday.

Hurts had three rushing touchdowns, cashing his anytime touchdown prop (+150) and first touchdown prop (+875). He also cleared 49.5 rushing yards.

As a passer, Hurts tallied 147 passing yards and no touchdowns. The under hit on both the yards and his touchdown passes.

The trends are there to capitalize on for bettors.

Hammering The