2026 World Cup Golden Boot Odds and Prediction (Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane Set as Favorites)

The 2026 World Cup is set to finally begin this week, and in case you didn't know, there are more ways to bet on this than just wagering on who will win.

One of the most popular and fun futures to bet on is who will win the Golden Boot, which is given to the tournament's top scorer. Kylian Mbappe won the Golden Boot in 2022, and he's once again set as the favorite to win it again in 2026.

Let's take a look at the full list of odds and then I'll give you my best bet.

2026 World Cup Golden Boot Odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Kylian Mbappe (France) +600
Harry Kane (England) +700
Erling Haaland (Norway) +1400
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) +1400
Lionel Messi (Argentina) +1600
Lamine Yamal (Spain) +2000
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) +2200
Julian Alvarez (Argentina) +3000
Raphinha (Brazil) +3000
Lautaro Martinez (Argentina) +3000
Vinicius Junior (Brazil) +3000
Ousmane Dembele (France) +3000
Igor Thiago (Brazil) +3300
Kai Havertz (Germany) +3500
Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) +3500
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) +4000
Florian Wirtz (Germany) +4000
Ferran Torres (Spain) +4000
Nick Woltemade (Germany) +4000
Luis Javier Suarez (Colombia) +4500
Charles De Ketelaerer (Belgium( +4500
Luis Diaz (Colombia) +5000
Matheus Cunha (Brazil) +5000
Jamal Musiala (Germany) +5000
Ollie Watkins (England) +5000

Who Will Win the Golden Boot?

Every article you read and podcast you listen to is probably going to give you Mbappe, Kane, or another top option to win the Golden Boot. If you want a dark horse, I have one for you here.

Consider Luis Diaz of Colombia. He took a significant step forward in his development this season, scoring 26 goals in 51 appearances for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. The 29-year-old is now set to lead a stout Colombian offensive attack in this year's World Cup, having already scored 22 goals for his country throughout his eight years on the team.

Diaz was awarded the Golden Boot at the 2021 Copa America, alongside Lionel Messi, so he already has international goalscoring pedigree.

How deep Colombia is going to go in the tournament is its biggest question mark. Remember, this award takes into consideration goals in both the Group Stage and the Knockout Stage, so if a player's country fails to advance or has a quick exit in the Round of 32 or the quarterfinals, he's likely not going to win this award.

Still, I think like Diaz at his 75-1 number, and if Colombia can win Group K against Portugal, he's going to be in an even better spot ahead of the knockout stage.

Pick: Luis Diaz +7500 (Caesars)

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

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