Daria Kasatkina vs. Naomi Osaka Prediction, Odds for Wimbledon Round 3

Naomi Osaka has four career Grand Slam wins, but has never found success at Wimbledon, having never made it to the fourth round of the tournament. She can change that on Friday with a win in the third round.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bets for her third round match against Daria Kasatkina.
Daria Kasatkina vs. Naomi Osaka Odds and Total
Moneyline
- Daria Kasatkina +365
- Naomi Osaka -500
Total
- 20.5 (Over -104/Under -128)
Daria Kasatkina vs. Naomi Osaka How to Watch
- Date: Friday, July 3
- Time: 8:00 a.m. EST
- How to Watch (TV): ESPN Unlimited
Daria Kasatkina vs. Naomi Osaka: History and Wimbledon Performance
These two have faced each other three times in their careers. Osaka is 3-0 in those matches, with the most recent taking place at last year's U.S. Open.
Daria Kasatkina
Kasatkina made the quarter-finals at Wimbledon in 2018, but hasn't made it past the third round since then. Her 64% win rate at this tournament is her second-best amongst the four major tournaments. This year, she defeated Mingge Xu and Janice Tjen in the first two rounds.
Naomi Osaka
Osaka has had success at the Australian Open and U.S. Open in her career, but has always struggled at both the French Open and Wimbledon. She made it to the third round at Wimbledon last year, but now has another chance to get to the fourth round for the first time at this tournament. She defeated Elsa Jacquemot and Anastasia Gasnova in the first two rounds.
Daria Kasatkina vs. Naomi Osaka Prediction and Best Bet
Osaka comes into this year's Wimbledon in great form. She made it to the finals at the Bad Homburg Open last month, eventually losing to Karolina Muchova in the final. She also dominated her first two opponents in this tournament. I have my doubts about her being able to beat the top talent at Wimbledon, but her recent form is enough for me to bet on her to win dominantly on Friday.
Pick: Naomi Osaka Wins 2-0 (-165) via FanDuel
Follow Iain on X and Instagram
With the latest FanDuel promo code new-user offer, you can get $350 in bonus bets. Create your new FanDuel account today, bet $5 for seven straight days and get $350 in bonus bets back.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
You can check out all of Iain's bets here!
-eb6ee9a9f2179a90cbfe0d8c654d1a62.jpg)
Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
Follow iainmacbets