Lakers vs. Suns Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, Feb. 26

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Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers suffered a tough loss against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday night, as Doncic passed up an open look in the final seconds in a one-point game.
Now, the Lakers take on a Phoenix Suns team that has dropped seven of its last 10 games after losing to the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Phoenix was without Dillon Brooks and Devin Booker in that game, and they are set as home underdogs for this matchup.
Los Angeles has a two-game cushion on the Suns in the Western Conference standings, but a few losses from the Lakers could push them back into the play-in tournament field.
Despite being well over .500 this season, the Lakers have a net rating of just -0.7 , a sign that they may be due for some regression down the stretch of the regular season.
The Suns have struggled on offense without Booker, going 6-9 overall in the 15 games that he’s missed. Can they bounce back from Tuesday’s loss in this divisional matchup?
Let’s dive into the odds, my favorite player prop and a prediction for this Western Conference showdown.
Lakers vs. Suns Odds, Spread and Total
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread
- Lakers -5.5 (-115)
- Suns +5.5 (-105)
Moneyline
- Lakers: -218
- Suns: +180
Total
- 220.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Lakers vs. Suns How to Watch
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 26
- Time: 9:00 p.m. EST
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
- How to Watch (TV): Spectrum Sportsnet, Arizona’s Family Sports
- Lakers record: 34-23
- Suns record: 33-26
Lakers vs. Suns Injury Reports
Lakers Injury Report
- Rui Hachimura – questionable
- Jaxson Hayes – probable
- Bronny James – out
- Adou Thiero – out
Suns Injury Report
- Cole Anthony – out
- Dillon Brooks – out
- Devin Booker – out
- Jordan Goodwin – out
- Haywood Highsmith – out
Lakers vs. Suns Best NBA Prop Bets
Lakers Best NBA Prop Bet
- LeBron James OVER 19.5 Points (-112)
This season, James is averaging 21.7 points per game while shooting 49.9 percent from the field and 30.4 percent from beyond the arc, and he’s put together a pair of solid scoring performances in his last two meetings with the Suns.
James has 26 and 23 points in those matchups, shooting a combined 15-for-31 from the field. The four-time league MVP has scored 20 or more points in seven of his nine games this month, averaging 20.9 points on 16.6 shots per game.
Phoenix has the No. 9 defense in the league, but with Brooks out, it isn’t nearly as loaded on the wing. I think James reaches his season average on Thursday.
Lakers vs. Suns Prediction and Pick
Earlier today, I shared in my NBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why I’m fading the Phoenix offense:
The Lakers aren't a good defensive team this season, but they may not matter against the short-handed Suns on Thursday.
Phoenix is averaging just 103.2 points per game when Booker is out of the lineup this season, and things have gotten much worse in their last two matchups with both Booker and Dillon Brooks out.
The Suns scored just 77 points on Sunday in a loss to Portland, and they followed that up with an 81-point showing in a loss to Boston on Tuesday. The Suns have scored less than 100 points in six of the games Booker has missed this season, shooting just 42.5 percent from the field overall.
They simply lack shot creation without Booker or Brooks, and I think this line is inflated a little too much because of the Lakers' defensive struggles in the 2025-26 season. L.A. has looked a little better on that end as of late, allowing 111 points to Boston's No. 2 offense on Sunday and just 110 points to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday.
I think it can hold the Suns under this line on Thursday night.
Pick: Suns Team Total UNDER 107.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.
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Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
Follow @peterdewey2