Michigan vs. Arizona Early Prediction, Odds, Player to Watch for March Madness Final Four

The Michigan Wolverines and the Arizona Wildcats are the only two 1-seeds left in the NCAA Tournament, but they have to face off against each other in Saturday night's Final Four. The winner of the game will move on to the National Championship and will be set as the betting favorite against the winner of Illinois vs. UConn.

The Wolverines boast an impressive 35-3 record, while Arizona is one win better at 36-2. The Wildcats managed to win the Big 12 Conference Tournament, but Michigan fell to Purdue in the Big Ten Tournament final.

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Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for what many people think is the true National Championship matchup.

Michigan vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Spread

Michigan -1.5 (-110)
Arizona +1.5 (-110)

Moneyline

Michigan -125
Arizona +105

Total

OVER 157.5 (-110)
UNDER 157.5 (-110)

Michigan vs. Arizona How to Watch

Date: Saturday, March 28
Game Time: 8:49 pm ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
How to Watch (TV): TrueTV/TBS/HBO Max
Michigan Record: 35-3
Arizona Record: 36-2

Michigan vs. Arizona Betting Trends

Michigan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
The OVER is 4-1 in Michigan's last five games
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. Michigan
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last five games

Michigan vs. Arizona Prediction and Pick

There is little to separate these two teams, which is why the spread is so tight. Michigan's shooting numbers are slightly better, but Arizona's defensive numbers have the slight edge. One area in which Arizona thrives is effective possession ratio, where they rank 15th compared to Michigan at 162nd.

One thing to keep an eye on in this game is turnovers. Michigan ranks in the bottom half of the country in both turnovers per possession and opponent turnovers per possession, which has led to the Wolverines ranking 215th in the country in extra scoring chances per game at -0.6. Arizona has a significant advantage in the turnover department, ranking 30th in extra scoring chances per game at +3.4. If this game comes down to the wire, that has the potential to be the difference-maker.

In a game that's likely going to come down to the wire, I'll back the side that's better at creating extra scoring chances for themselves.

Pick: Arizona +1.5 (-110) via Caesars

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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