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Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Friday, Feb. 27

Michigan is a road favorite against Illinois on Friday night.
Michigan is a road favorite against Illinois on Friday night. | Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

A huge game in the Big Ten is set to take place on Friday night when the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines take on the No. 10 Illinois Fighting Illini.

A win for Michigan would lock up the regular-season title for the Wolverines, while an upset win by Illinois would not only keep its chances alive of winning the regular-season Big Ten title, but it would also improve its chances of getting a one-seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this marquee matchup.

Michigan vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

  • Michigan -1.5 (+100)
  • Illinois +1.5 (-122)

Moneyline

  • Michigan -115
  • Illinois -104

Total

  • OVER 157.5 (-115)
  • UNDER 157.5 (-105)

Michigan vs. Illinois How to Watch

  • Date: Friday, February 27
  • Game Time: 8:00 pm ET
  • Venue: State Farm Center
  • How to Watch (TV): FOX
  • Michigan Record: 26-2 (16-1 in Big Ten)
  • Illinois Record: 22-6 (13-4 in Big Ten)

Michigan vs. Illinois Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
  • The UNDER is 9-4 in Michigan's last 13 games
  • Illinois is 9-0 straight up and 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. Michigan
  • Illinois is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games

Michigan vs. Illinois Key Player to Watch

  • Yaxel Lendeborg, F - Michigan Wolverines

Yaxel Landeborg is one of the best forwards in the country. He's averaging 14.2 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game, all of which lead the Wolverines. He's also averaging 3.3 assists per game, which is second on the Wolverines behind Elliot Cadeau. He's coming off one of his worst games of the season, scoring just three points against Minnesota, so it's important he has a bounce-back performance on Friday night.

Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction and Pick

Illinois has one of the highest 3-point shot rates in the country, which means it's important to take a look at how its opponent does in defending the perimeter. Unfortunately for them, Michigan has one of the best perimeter defenses in the country, allowing teams to shoot just 29.5% from beyond the arc, which is the best mark amongst all power conference teams. That's going to lead to a tough challenge for the Illinois offense.

I also have some concerns about the defensive ability of Illinois. The Fighting Illini rank just 71st in defensive efficiency, far worse than Michigan, which comes in ranked third.

I'm surprised this spread isn't bigger in favor of Michigan. I'll back the Wolverines as road favorites.

Pick: Michigan -1.5 (+100)


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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.

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