Hot Stove Report: Rangers offer hot spot for Guerrero to rebound
The Rangers have inked
Guerrero certainly has his weaknesses. He played just four games in the outfield last year, limiting him to the DH/Utility role in most formats. Also, a lot of his peripheral numbers were career worst, or close, in 2009. strikeout percentage (13.8), BB% (4.7), AB/HR (25.5), secondary average (.217), isolated power (.164); the man recorded some alarmingly bad stats. Injuries and age (35 in February) have affected the Vladiator's game, but there are some numbers that support a bounce back in 2010. His balls in-play percentage (IP%) of 77% shows that he's still making contact at a Vlad-like rate. In fact, it's only the second time he's reached that mark in the last 12 years. That doesn't tickle your fancy? How about the fact that his line drive percentage (19%) was as good or better than it's been in the last five years? Still not sold? Let's roll off his career stats at hitter-friendly Rangers Ballpark: .394 batting average/.471 on base percentage/.705 slugging percentage, 14 HRs, 33 runs batted in, 38 runs in 193 at-bats.
Even with a relatively small sample size, those are diesel numbers. If you think that those numbers are simply the result of "old" Vlad production, it should be noted that he did pretty well in Texas last year, too (.440 BA/.500 OBP/.640 SLG in 25 at-bats). In a Rangers lineup teeming with talent, he should have the opportunity to drive in runs.
The bottom line is this: Guerrero is one of the greatest hitters of our generation and it's perfectly reasonable to believe he has another 30 HR/100 RBI season left in him now that he's taking his act to Texas. Considering people were taking
• Carlos DL-tran:
• Adam Bombs: After foolishly turning down a two-year, $17.5 million dollar deal from the Giants,
First-half: .252 BA/.326 OBP/.447 SLG, 63 HRs, 242 RBIs, 214 runs in 1,587 ABs
Second-half: .300 BA/.363 OBP/.546 SLG, 73 HRs, 227 RBIs, 188 runs in 1,290 ABs
If you break down those second-half counting stats, it shakes out to about 33 HRs, 105 RBIs, and 87 runs in a full season. While it's nice to fantasize that this could be the year LaRoche finally puts it all together, he's simply not worth investing in outside of leagues that use corner infielders. First base is too deep for fantasy owners to pin their title hopes on LaRoche in 5x5, 12-team leagues. You're better off picking him up as soon as the All-Star Game ends.
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• Jose and the Pus ... Tigers: The Tigers signed free-agent closer
• Don't-ell: The Pirates are close to making
• Colby's Cheddar: Though