Fire sale: The foolishness of crowds
What a start to another crazy NFL season. Can I give you all a little advice? Assuming we have a season in 2011, don't watch any so-called experts on TV predicting playoff teams. It's one of my biggest pet peeves in the world. All they do is pick the same exact teams that made the playoffs the year before.
In today's NFL, that simply doesn't happen. Don't these guys realize there is a better chance of teams like Kansas City and Tampa Bay making the playoffs than there is of all the same teams returning from the previous year? It's just stupid. What should we expect, though? There is nothing on TV anymore besides former players who know nothing and say even less. Apparently if you played football you are somehow qualified to do a job others need a college degree to do.
The main point of this rant is that people are stupid. That's why they all picked the Jets, Cowboys and Vikings to be Super Bowl contenders when each team had a bunch of question marks on paper. I guess it's no surprise those teams are a combined 1-5, while projected bottom-feeders, Kansas City and Tampa Bay, are 4-0. That's how it is in the NFL today. It just amazes me that every single year people are surprised when it inevitably happens.
Speaking of surprises, I really have to tip my hat to
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Now, onto the Fire Sale ...
The word I think of when I watch Knox play is "smooth." He runs good routes, has soft hands and overall Knox just makes things look easy. I pointed out last week that I don't think
Knox may never be a No. 1 receiver either but his skill set makes him the best option out of the Bears pass catchers in my opinion. I said this summer that Knox's versatility allows Martz to do a lot of different things with him and I think we are seeing that early in the season.
Knox is coming off a nice outing against Dallas where he caught four balls for 86 yards. I think he's going to continue to get better as the year goes on. The guy I played last week benched Knox. Don't you make the same mistake. Get Knox in your starting lineup.
By the way, remember when everyone was drooling over
The thing I always liked about Moeaki from his days at Iowa is he has great body control. He really knows how to shield defenders away from the ball, plus Moeaki has that big frame to be a threat in the red zone.
The Chiefs passing game really hasn't gotten off the ground yet.
If you are in a keeper league, Moeaki should definitely be on your radar. In traditional leagues he will be a solid spot starter and help add some depth to your tight end position.
Snelling showed last year that he's more than capable of filling in for Turner. Word out of Atlanta is that Turner's groin injury isn't serious, although those can be tricky and linger throughout the season. If you can get Snelling, do it. He will pay big dividends should Turner's groin act up.
This year my first two picks were
Luckily for me and other Mathews' owners, early reports are his ankle injury doesn't appear to be serious. Although, just like Turner and his groin, ankle injuries can linger, so I would advise grabbing Tolbert as insurance just in case. Besides, Tolbert scored from the 1-yard line even before Mathews was hurt, so his fantasy value is on the rise anyway.
Expect to see more and more of the Chargers battering ram, regardless if Mathews is healthy or not. The really bad news is Tolbert could start vulturing goal-line carries from Mathews, which will end up hurting both players. If Mathews' injury is worse than first reported I don't think you will lose much with Tolbert in there.
Maybe next year I will just skip the first two rounds of my draft. How about those old time fantasy nerds that tell you not to take a quarterback early? Sure, I would much rather have Greene than
I'm not a big stat guy. I'm an eyeball guy. I watch a ton of football and use that to come up with my conclusions. Sometimes I see a guy play early in his career and say, "He's a stud." I found myself saying that a lot when watching Thomas Sunday.
Even though I liked Decker, I had no problems with Thomas when he was at Georgia Tech. I actually saw every Georgia Tech game last year because I'm an option freak. While I expected Thomas would make a splash in the NFL, I thought it may take him a season to get used to the NFL game after playing the last two years in Tech's option offense.
Well, it looks like I was wrong. Thomas played like a grizzled veteran against Seattle. I always knew about his freakish God-given physical skills but I thought Thomas ran some really good routes in his first NFL game. The bottom line: This kid is a monster. I've seen all I need to see out of him. I'm on the bandwagon.
There is a chance Thomas is still available in your league because he was injured for most of the summer. If that's the case, pick him up.
This is also why you should be following me on Twitter. I advised people on last Wednesday to put Ware on their radar. Meanwhile, the fantasy "expert" on NFL Network told us to start
I have been stating one fact over and over since last season about Brandon Jacobs: once a back of his size not named
This brings me to the other point I made about Jacobs: he is not a guy to take a demotion quietly. I met Jacobs a few times when I covered the Giants/Patriots Super Bowl, and while he gives a great interview, one thing became evident to me: Jacobs is always going to speak his mind, whether it's good or bad. He's one of those players you simply can't control.
So when things are going well, Jacobs is a great teammate; however, when Jacobs isn't happy, the exact opposite holds true and he becomes a distraction, which is already happening. Did you see him throw his helmet into the stands Sunday night? What a maniac. Jacobs will run his mouth right out of New York. Now Jacobs is asking to be traded. That's a good idea. I'm sure there are plenty of teams in the UFL that could use his services.
Ware may not have any value at the present time but keep an eye on Jacobs' situation. My cousin is a big Giants fan and I told him this summer that Jacobs wouldn't last the season in New York. The guy is a jerk. Be proactive and grab Ware before it's too late. He could end up being a nice pickup in fantasy leagues for later on down the line.
The main reason I thought Wells would be a bust in Arizona: He doesn't know the difference between pain and injuries. The guy has no toughness at all.
It is my opinion that when Wells was in college, he sat out games in which he was healthy enough to play. I have no proof of this, it's just my opinion. However, I always got the impression from his days at Ohio State that Wells doesn't like pain. For those of you who own Wells in fantasy leagues, my guess is you are now getting that same impression.
What Wells is doing in Arizona is the exact same thing he did at Ohio State. You know how many times Wells was a "game-time decision" in college? It was virtually every week. If it wasn't a toe, it has a thigh. If it wasn't a finger, it was a shoulder. This went on for Wells' entire college career, so should we really be surprised that it's continuing now that he's in the NFL?
Wells was inactive for the second week in a row on Sunday. If you own Wells, you will probably have to deal with the same headache all season long. He will return, play a couple of games and then it will be back to game-time decisions for Beanie. He can't help it, that's who he is. In other words, Wells is a pansy. There's just no other way to say it.
I just think it isn't very smart to keep a home run hitter like Charles on the bench when you have an anemic offense. I understand that Jones is going to have a role in the offense but against the Browns on Sunday, Charles only had 12 touches, compared to Jones' 23. That's just perplexing to me.
Listen, it's not like Jones was setting the world on fire. He had 22 carries for 83 yards, while Charles had 11 carries for 49 yards. What is even more baffling is the lack of touches Charles is seeing in the passing game. He only caught one ball against Cleveland. I'm sorry, but has the Chiefs coaching staff ever seen what this guy can do in space? Charles may be the most dynamic open field runner not named Chris Johnson.
The Chiefs only had 312 yards of offense on Sunday. Other than Charles' big touchdown run against the Chargers, Kansas City did nothing on that side of the ball in that game either. I think it's time to get your most dangerous player more involved.
I have no idea what Haley is going to do but I think this is a great time to buy low on Charles. My educated guess is they don't want Charles getting worn down and he will start getting more carries as the season goes on. If you are hurting at running back, this is the perfect time to trade for a player like Charles. He's underachieved up until now but I have to believe his best days are yet to come.
All summer I had people coming up to me saying how the Cowboys were their pick to win the Super Bowl. One thing I kept telling everyone was that I was worried about the running game. I follow the John Madden running back theory which is if you have three backs you really don't have any backs.
Now, I understand in today's NFL a lot of teams use two guys. However, even in that case coaches ride the hot hand. Dallas is trying to split carries between three very different runners. Not only can none of the backs get into a groove but their different styles make it harder for that average offensive line to open up holes.
Listen, I saw this coming a mile away. I love the Cowboys but I'm also not a blind homer. I know they got lucky last year. The bottom line is their decision makers stink, their coaching staff stinks and the team has no real leaders. Any Cowboy fan that thought they were going to the Super Bowl with Jones, Mini-Jones,
I don't expect the Dallas running game to fix itself anytime soon. It's a mess, and to be honest I think the best overall back out of the three is
By the way Jerry, you may want to get a new kicker at some point. I don't want to tell you how to run your team but I prefer kickers that can actually put the ball between those two yellow sticks from time-to-time.
Leave it to Buffalo and
You play football to win, not to try and get a fourth-round draft pick for a third-string running back. Can you imagine
I actually just traded for Spiller and I still like his prospects for later in the season. I believe he's the real deal. Once Gailey figures out if he gets Spiller in space Buffalo will have its version of
I know the Raiders are a laughingstock but in my opinion the Bills are currently the worst run organization in the NFL. Chan Gailey. Man, that's funny. Don't worry Bills fans, now your team will be able to draft that overrated bum Jake Locker. That should turn things around for you.